Cyberweapons

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  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "summary": "Comprehensive analysis showing AI-enabled cyberweapons represent a present, high-severity threat with GPT-4 exploiting 87% of one-day vulnerabilities at \\$8.80/exploit and the first documented AI-orchestrated attack in September 2025 affecting ~30 targets. Key finding: while AI helps both offense and defense, current assessment gives offense a 55-45% offense advantage, with autonomous attacks now comprising 14% of major breaches and causing average U.S. breach costs of \\$10.22M. Covers five key uncertainties with probability-weighted scenarios.",
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  "lesswrong": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/computer-security-and-cryptography",
  "grokipedia": "https://grokipedia.com/page/Cyberwarfare"
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