Longterm Wiki

Forecasting Grantmaking

Open
Grant Round
$50Mbudget
Funder Organization
Division
Forecasting
Source
Description

30+ grants totaling ~$50M supporting forecasting infrastructure and research.

Notes

Led by Benjamin Tereick.

Grants Awarded

31Total: $45M
GrantRecipientAmountDateStatus
Forecasting Research Institute — General SupportForecasting Research Institute (FRI)$10MFeb 2025
Applied Research Laboratory for Intelligence and Security — Forecasting PlatformsApplied Research Laboratory For Intelligence And Security$8MSep 2021
Forecasting Research Institute — Science of ForecastingForecasting Research Institute (FRI)$6MDec 2022
Metaculus — Platform Development$6MMay 2022
RAND Corporation — Forecasting PlatformRAND$3MAug 2024
Metaculus — Platform Development (2023)$3MApr 2023
Metaculus — Platform Development (2024)$3MApr 2024
University of Pennsylvania — Philip Tetlock’s “Making Conversations Smarter, Faster” Forecasting ProjectUniversity Of Pennsylvania$2MJul 2017
Mantic — AI Forecasting ResearchMantic$610KSep 2024
Sage — Software Tools for ForecastingSage$550KMay 2024
University of Pennsylvania — Philip Tetlock on ForecastingUniversity Of Pennsylvania$500KMar 2016
FutureSearch — Forecasting Question Automation$356KMay 2025
Hypermind — COVID-19 ForecastingGood Judgment (Forecasting)$311KFeb 2021
University of Pennsylvania — Forecasting Tournament PlanningUniversity Of Pennsylvania$275KOct 2021
Good Judgment Inc. — Forecasting Review on Power-Seeking AIGood Judgment (Forecasting)$231KJan 2023
Swift Centre — Forecasting WorkshopsSwift Centre$200KSep 2024
Forecasting Research Institute — AI Forecasting ProjectForecasting Research Institute (FRI)$150KMar 2023
Good Judgment Inc. — H5N1 ForecastsGood Judgment (Forecasting)$150KFeb 2023
Hypermind — AI ForecastingGood Judgment (Forecasting)$147KMar 2021
University of Pennsylvania — Geopolitical Forecasting Research (2021)University Of Pennsylvania$132KFeb 2021
The Centre for Economic Policy Research — Macroeconomic Impacts of Cash TransfersThe Centre For Economic Policy Research$125KDec 2024
Hypermind — AI Forecasting TournamentGood Judgment (Forecasting)$121KMar 2021
Metaculus — AI Forecasting Tournament$100KJul 2019
Good Judgment Inc. — COVID-19 ForecastingGood Judgment (Forecasting)$76KMar 2020
Forecasting Research Institute — Existential Risk Persuasion TournamentForecasting Research Institute (FRI)$75KSep 2023
Forecasting Research Institute — Analysis of Historical ForecastsForecasting Research Institute (FRI)$60KNov 2023
UC Berkeley — Course Development Support (Jacob Steinhardt)Uc Berkeley$54KAug 2021
University of Toronto — Social Science Prediction PlatformUniversity Of Toronto$40KMar 2023
International Institute for Strategic Studies — Forecasting SessionInternational Institute For Strategic Studies$33KJan 2025
University of Pennsylvania — Geopolitical Forecasting Research (2020)University Of Pennsylvania$29KAug 2020
Sage — AI 2025 Forecasting QuestionsSage$7KNov 2024