| Anthropic IPO in 2026? (part of IPOs in 2026 market) | 34% | Manifold | ipo | 2026-12-31 |
| Claude 5 released by...? | 18% | Polymarket | timeline | 2026-04-30 |
| Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | – | Metaculus | capability | 2025-12-31 |
| Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30? | – | Polymarket | capability | 2026-06-30 |
| Will Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030? | – | Manifold | other | 2030-12-31 |
| What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026) | – | Manifold | ipo | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Anthropic file an S-1 before July 1, 2026? | – | Metaculus | ipo | 2026-07-01 |
| Date Anthropic reaches ASL-4? | – | Metaculus | safety | 2027-12-30 |
| Claude 5 released on...? | – | Polymarket | timeline | 2026-12-31 |
| Outcomes of the Anthropic vs. US government feud? | – | Manifold | regulation | 2026-07-01 |
| Claude 5 release date | – | Metaculus | timeline | 2027-12-30 |
| Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon? | 16% | Polymarket | regulation | 2026-04-30 |
| Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026? | 83% | Polymarket | valuation | 2026-12-31 |
| Claude 5 (Anthropic) release date | – | Manifold | timeline | – |
| Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO? | 24% | Manifold | ipo | 2026-12-31 |
| Claude 4.6 (Anthropic) release date | – | Manifold | timeline | – |
| How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released? | – | Metaculus | capability | – |
| Will Anthropic's first image generation capability be based on an in-house image model? | – | Manifold | capability | 2026-12-31 |
| Before July 1, 2025, will Anthropic announce that it is planning an IPO? | – | Metaculus | ipo | 2025-07-01 |
| Anthropic Claude score on Humanity's Last Exam by June 30? | 93% | Polymarket | capability | 2026-06-30 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? | – | Polymarket | other | 2026-12-31 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | – | Polymarket | ipo | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | 56% | Polymarket | ipo | 2027-12-31 |
| Will Anthropic escape the 'supply chain risk' designation by EOY 2026? | 81% | Manifold | regulation | 2026-12-31 |
| What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy) | – | Manifold | valuation | 2026-12-31 |
| 1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not. (Forbes 2026 AI predictions) | 33% | Manifold | ipo | 2026-12-31 |
| At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy) | – | Manifold | ipo | 2026-12-31 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (by June 30, 2026)? | 5% | Polymarket | ipo | 2026-06-30 |
| When will Anthropic IPO? | – | Manifold | ipo | – |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day (by December 31, 2027)? | – | Polymarket | valuation | 2027-12-31 |
| Will Anthropic reach $4B annualized revenue by end of 2025? | 54% | Manifold | revenue | 2025-12-31 |
| Will Anthropic models still be hosted on at least one of AWS, GCP, or Azure at expiry (August 27, 2026)? | 97% | Manifold | regulation | 2026-08-27 |
| Will Anthropic IPO before 2030? | – | Manifold | ipo | 2030-01-01 |
| Will the next release of Claude be Sonnet 4.7? | – | Manifold | capability | 2026-12-31 |
| Will Anthropic make Claude 5 available via a public API before May 1, 2026? | – | Metaculus | capability | 2026-05-01 |