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Organizations / Google DeepMind Also known as: DeepMind, DeepMind Technologies, Google DeepMind
Question Probability Platform Category Resolves Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce a pause on large training runs for safety reasons, before 2026? 20% Metaculus safety – Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? 14% Polymarket capability 2026-06-30 Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity's Last Exam by January 31, 2026? – Polymarket capability 2026-01-31 Will there be an AI capabilities plateau in 2025? (featuring Google DeepMind / Gemini 2 Ultra as a sub-question) – Metaculus capability 2025-09-01 Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027? 67% Manifold valuation 2027-12-31 Google Gemini 4 release date? – Manifold capability – Will Google say 'DeepMind / Deep Mind' during their earnings call? (Feb 4, 2026) 50% Polymarket other 2026-02-04 Will there be serious AI safety drama at Google or Deepmind before 2026? 10% Manifold safety 2026-01-01 Serrano and Google DeepMind publish Navier-Stokes result by 2027? 16% Manifold capability 2027-12-31 Will AlphaFold 4 be announced in 2025? – Manifold capability 2026-01-01 Will Google Deepmind's autonomous agent be based on Gemini? 75% Manifold capability – What day will Gemini 3.0 be released? – Polymarket capability – When will Google DeepMind's Gemini model be publicly released? – Metaculus capability 2023-12-06 Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026? 4% Manifold other 2026-01-01 Gemini 3.0 released by...? – Polymarket capability – When will DeepMind Sparrow chatbot be available outside Alphabet? – Metaculus capability – Will 'AGI Safety and Alignment at Google DeepMind: ...' make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review? 14% Manifold safety 2026-02-28 Has Google DeepMind solved P6 at IMO 2025? – Manifold capability 2025-07-31 Gemini 3.5 released by March 31, 2026? – Polymarket capability 2026-03-31 Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027? 67% Manifold safety 2027-12-31 Google DeepMind announces a model that outperforms humans on the ARC-AGI-2 benchmark before January 15, 2026 16% Manifold capability 2026-01-15