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Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)

Safety Organization
Founded Jan 2000 (26 years old)HQ: Berkeley, CAintelligence.org ↗

Also known as: MIRI, Singularity Institute, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence, SIAI

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10
QuestionProbabilityPlatformCategoryResolves
How will MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2025?–Manifoldrevenue2026-01-01
Will MIRI run an end of 2025 fundraiser?39%Manifoldrevenue2025-12-31
Will MIRI employ researchers in 2030?–Metaculusother2030-01-01
If MIRI runs an end-of-year fundraiser in 2026, how much money will it raise?27%Manifoldrevenue2027-01-01
By 2028, will I think MIRI has been net-good for the world?85%Manifoldother2028-01-01
If alignment is solved, what percentage of the technical work will have come from MIRI?–Manifoldcapability–
Will "MIRI 2024 Communications Strategy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?26%Manifoldother2026-02-28
Will "MIRI 2024 Mission and Strategy Update" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?24%Manifoldother2026-02-28
How did MIRI allocate funding between its program areas in 2023?–Manifoldrevenue–
Will MIRI receive more than 1 billion USD in funding in a single year before 2030?11%Manifoldrevenue2030-01-01