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Longterm Wiki

Mistral AI

Frontier AI Lab
Founded Apr 2023 (3 years old)HQ: Paris, Francemistral.ai ↗
Entity
OverviewWiki
Business
Funding Rounds5Market Data12Products & Models2
Policy & Governance
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Prediction Markets

12
QuestionProbabilityPlatformCategoryResolves
Will Mistral's next model make it to the top 10 models in LLM Arena by the end of 2025?45%Manifoldcapability2025-12-31
Will Mistral have the best AI model end of April 2026?1%Polymarketcapability2026-04-30
Will Mistral fold by 2028?26%Manifoldother2028-01-01
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?14%Polymarketipo2026-12-31
Mistral IPO by EOY?39%Manifoldipo2025-12-31
Will Mistral ever deploy its best LLM without releasing its model weights up through AGI?–Manifoldsafety2035-01-01
Will Mistral AI have the best AI model at the end of 2025?1%Polymarketcapability2025-12-31
Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?72%Manifoldrevenue2034-01-01
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?10%Polymarketcapability2026-03-31
Will Mistral have the top AI model end of March 2026? (Style Control On)1%Polymarketcapability2026-03-31
Mistral 4 (Mistral) release date — Before December 2026?90%Manifoldtimeline2026-12-01
Will Mistral AI be acquired by the end of 2025?28%Manifoldother2025-12-31