Metaculus AI forecasts
webCredibility Rating
3/5
Good(3)Good quality. Reputable source with community review or editorial standards, but less rigorous than peer-reviewed venues.
Rating inherited from publication venue: Metaculus
This link is broken (404); users seeking Metaculus AI forecasts should visit metaculus.com and search for AI-related questions directly, as this URL no longer resolves to content.
Metadata
Importance: 35/100tool pagereference
Summary
This URL was intended to link to Metaculus's collection of AI-related forecasting questions, a platform where forecasters make probabilistic predictions about AI development timelines, capabilities, and risks. However, the page currently returns a 404 error, indicating the content may have moved or been reorganized.
Key Points
- •Page returns a 404 error; the intended AI forecasting question repository is currently inaccessible at this URL.
- •Metaculus is a well-known forecasting platform that hosts many AI safety and capability timeline prediction questions.
- •Community forecasts on Metaculus have been cited in AI governance and risk assessment discussions.
- •The platform aggregates probabilistic predictions from many forecasters to produce calibrated community estimates.
Cited by 1 page
| Page | Type | Quality |
|---|---|---|
| AI Risk Activation Timeline Model | Analysis | 66.0 |
Cached Content Preview
HTTP 200Fetched Mar 15, 20260 KB
# Page not found If you think there's supposed to be a page here, send a note to us and we'll try to get it fixed. [Return to Home page](https://www.metaculus.com/) ### We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience. Learn more about how we use cookies in our [Privacy Policy](https://www.metaculus.com/privacy-policy/) Necessary onlyCustomize Accept and close
Resource ID:
248087ef55725b11 | Stable ID: sid_yDdGQUJhHN