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This is the research index page for Conjecture, a London-based AI safety startup; useful for tracking their evolving CoEm agenda and published cross-organizational alignment discussions, though individual linked papers carry more depth.

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Summary

Conjecture's research hub presents their primary safety agenda centered on Cognitive Emulation (CoEm), an AI architecture designed to bound system capabilities and make reasoning interpretable and controllable. Rather than directly solving alignment for AGI, they propose building predictably boundable intermediate systems as a simpler near-term step. The page indexes key publications including their foundational CoEm proposal, a roadmap for 'Cognitive Software,' and cross-organizational alignment discussions.

Key Points

  • Cognitive Emulation (CoEm) is Conjecture's core safety proposal: build predictably boundable AI systems rather than attempting direct AGI alignment.
  • The agenda positions CoEm as a simpler, more tractable intermediate step toward full alignment solutions, not a final answer.
  • Conjecture critiques current AI scaling paradigms as lacking any known safety techniques, framing this as a critical and underappreciated risk.
  • Research includes cross-organizational dialogue, e.g., a published discussion between Paul Christiano (ARC) and Conjecture's Gabriel Alfour on alignment cruxes.
  • Founded by EleutherAI alumni including Connor Leahy, Sid Black, and Gabriel Alfour, with notable VC backing from AI and tech figures.

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 Ensuring a good future with advanced AI systems

 Ensuring a good future with advanced AI systems

 Ensuring a good future with advanced AI systems

 Our research agenda focuses on building Cognitive Emulation - an AI architecture that bounds systems' capabilities and makes them reason in ways that humans can understand and control.

 Our research agenda focuses on building Cognitive Emulation - an AI architecture that bounds systems' capabilities and makes them reason in ways that humans can understand and control.

 Our research agenda focuses on building Cognitive Emulation - an AI architecture that bounds systems' capabilities and makes them reason in ways that humans can understand and control.

 Cognitive Emulation Articles

 Cognitive Emulation Articles

 Oct 19, 2023

 An Introduction to Cognitive Emulation

 An Introduction to Cognitive Emulation

 An Introduction to Cognitive Emulation

 All human labor, from writing an email to designing a spaceship, is built on cognition. Somewhere along the way, human intuition is used in a cognitive algorithm to form a meaningful idea or perform a meaningful task. Over time, these ideas and actions accrue in communication, formulating plans, researching opportunities, and building solutions. Society is entirely composed of these patterns, and Cognitive Emulation is built to learn and emulate them.

 All human labor, from writing an email to designing a spaceship, is built on cognition. Somewhere along the way, human intuition is used in a cognitive algorithm to form a meaningful idea or perform a meaningful task. Over time, these ideas and actions accrue in communication, formulating plans, researching opportunities, and building solutions. Society is entirely composed of these patterns, and Cognitive Emulation is built to learn and emulate them.

 All human labor, from writing an email to designing a spaceship, is built on cognition. Somewhere along the way, human intuition is used in a cognitive algorithm to form a meaningful idea or perform a meaningful task. Over time, these ideas and actions accrue in communication, formulating plans, researching opportunities, and building solutions. Society is entirely composed of these patterns, and Cognitive Emulation is built to learn and emulate them.

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 Dec 2, 2024

 Conjecture: A Roadmap for Cognitive Software and A Humanist Future of AI

 An overview of Conjecture's approach to "Cognitive Software," and our build path towards a good future.

 Feb 25, 2023

 Cognitive Emulation: A Naive AI Safety Proposal

 This post serves as a signpost for Conjecture’s new primary safety proposal and research direction, which we call Cognitive Emulation (or “CoEm”). The

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