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Deliberative Polling
webcdd.stanford.edu·cdd.stanford.edu/what-is-deliberative-polling/
Relevant to AI governance and alignment discussions around how to solicit meaningful public input on AI policy; deliberative methods could inform how democratic societies make collective decisions about AI development and deployment.
Metadata
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Summary
Deliberative Polling is a democratic process developed at Stanford's Center for Deliberative Democracy that brings together a representative sample of citizens to deliberate on policy issues with balanced information and expert input. The method aims to reveal what the public would think if given the opportunity to become genuinely informed and engage in structured dialogue. It has been used in over 100 projects worldwide to improve democratic decision-making on contentious issues.
Key Points
- •Combines random sampling with structured deliberation to capture informed public opinion rather than raw, unreflective preferences
- •Participants receive balanced briefing materials and engage with competing experts/stakeholders before and after deliberation
- •Designed to counter polarization and misinformation by exposing participants to diverse, high-quality information
- •Results often show significant opinion shifts, demonstrating that informed deliberation can bridge partisan divides
- •Used in governance contexts globally as a tool for legitimate, evidence-based public consultation on complex policy issues
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What is Deliberative Polling®? – DDL
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Deliberative Polling®
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What is Deliberative Polling®?
Table of Contents
The Problem
The Process
Applications
History
Case Studies
Selected Results
Unification of Korea, South Korea (August 2011)
London Power 2010: Countdown to New Politics, United Kingdom (January 2010)
What to do with the Euro Cup stadium in Poznan?, Poland (November 2009)
Europolis: A Deliberative Polity-Making Process, European Union (June 2009)
Public Servants Careers Reform, Porto Alegre, Brazil (June 2009)
Unemployment and Job Creation, Hungary (May-June 2008)
Policies toward the Roma, Sofia, Bulgaria (2007)
The Problem
Citizens are often uninformed about key public issues. Conventional polls represent the public’s surface impressions of sound bites and headlines. The public, subject to what social scientists have called “rational ignorance,” has little reason to confront trade-offs or invest time and effort in acquiring information or coming to a considered judgment.
The Process
Deliberative Polling® [1] is an attempt to use public opinion research in a new and constructive way. A random, representative sample is first polled on the targeted issues. After this baseline poll, members of the sample are invited to gather at a single place for a weekend in order to discuss the issues. Carefully balanced briefing materials are sent to the participants and are also made publicly available. The participants engage in dialogue with competing experts and political l
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