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Commodity Futures Trading Commission | CFTC
governmentcftc.gov·cftc.gov/
Relevant to AI safety researchers interested in prediction markets as forecasting tools, as CFTC's regulatory jurisdiction directly shapes which prediction market platforms can legally operate in the U.S.
Metadata
Importance: 32/100homepage
Summary
The CFTC is the U.S. federal agency regulating commodity futures, derivatives, and prediction markets. It oversees market integrity, enforces against fraud and manipulation, and coordinates with the SEC on financial market regulation. Its jurisdiction over prediction markets is relevant to AI safety discussions around forecasting and information aggregation mechanisms.
Key Points
- •CFTC has reaffirmed exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, directly impacting platforms used for AI-relevant forecasting and information aggregation.
- •Historic MOU with the SEC aims to harmonize financial market regulation and reduce duplicative oversight across derivatives and securities.
- •CFTC-SEC joint crypto meetings signal increasing regulatory attention to emerging digital asset and prediction market technologies.
- •The agency promotes innovation while preserving core protections against fraud, manipulation, and systemic risk in financial markets.
- •Whistleblower program and enforcement actions (e.g., $14M+ judgments) reflect active regulatory posture in these markets.
Cited by 1 page
| Page | Type | Quality |
|---|---|---|
| Prediction Markets (AI Forecasting) | Approach | 56.0 |
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About this capture
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Organization: Archive Team
Formed in 2009, the Archive Team (not to be confused with the archive.org Archive-It Team) is a rogue archivist collective dedicated to saving copies of rapidly dying or deleted websites for the sake of history and digital heritage. The group is 100% composed of volunteers and interested parties, and has expanded into a large amount of related projects for saving online and digital history.
History is littered with hundreds of conflicts over the future of a community, group, location or business that were "resolved" when one of the parties stepped ahead and destroyed what was there. With the original point of contention destroyed, the debates would fall to the wayside. Archive Team believes that by duplicated condemned data, the conversation and debate can continue, as well as the richness and insight gained by keeping the materials. Our projects have ranged in size from a single volunteer downloading the data to a small-but-critical site, to over 100 volunteers stepping forward to acquire terabytes of user-created data to save for future generations.
The main site for Archive Team is at archiveteam.org and contains up to the date information on various projects, manifestos, plans and walkthroughs.
This collection contains the output of many Archive Team projects, both ongoing and completed. Thanks to the generous providing of disk space by the Internet Archive, multi-terabyte datasets can be made available, as well as in use by the Wayback Machine, providing a path back to lost websites and work.
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Collection: ArchiveBot: The Archive Team Crowdsourced Crawler
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To use ArchiveBot, drop by #archivebot on EFNet. To interact with ArchiveBot, you issue commands by typing it into the channel. Note you will need channel operator permissions in order
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