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A Game-Theoretic Model of Global AI Development Race
webpreprints.org·preprints.org/manuscript/202409.1287/v1
A formal preprint using game theory to model AI race dynamics; relevant for researchers and policymakers studying how competitive pressures between AI developers may undermine safety and what governance interventions could help.
Metadata
Importance: 52/100working paperanalysis
Summary
This preprint applies game-theoretic frameworks to model the competitive dynamics of global AI development, analyzing how nations and actors make strategic decisions under competitive pressure. It examines how race dynamics may undermine safety incentives and explores conditions under which coordination or defection is rational. The work aims to inform governance strategies for managing AI competition.
Key Points
- •Models the AI development race as a strategic game between multiple actors (nations/firms), capturing incentives to prioritize speed over safety
- •Analyzes equilibrium outcomes where competitive pressure leads to collectively suboptimal results, such as reduced safety investment
- •Explores conditions under which international coordination mechanisms could shift actors toward safer development trajectories
- •Connects formal game-theoretic results to real-world AI governance challenges including treaties, standards, and compute controls
- •Highlights the role of information asymmetry and uncertainty in exacerbating race-to-the-bottom dynamics
Cited by 1 page
| Page | Type | Quality |
|---|---|---|
| Multipolar Trap (AI Development) | Risk | 91.0 |
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A Game-Theoretic Model of Global AI Development Race: Dynamics of Domination and Technological Catch-up[v1] | Preprints.org Jun JUL Aug 19 2024 2025 2026 success fail About this capture COLLECTED BY Collection: Common Crawl Web crawl data from Common Crawl. TIMESTAMPS The Wayback Machine - https://web.archive.org/web/20250719212716/https://www.preprints.org/manuscript/202409.1287/v1 Instructions for Authors About Help Center Blog Home Computer Science and Mathematics Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning DOI:10.20944/preprints202409.1287.v1 Preprint Article A Game-Theoretic Model of Global AI Development Race: Dynamics of Domination and Technological Catch-up This version is not peer-reviewed. Richard Murdoch Montgomery * Richard Murdoch Montgomery * Show more This version is not peer-reviewed. Downloads 117 Views 97 Comments 0 Preprints.org is a free preprint server supported by MDPI in Basel, Switzerland. Contact UsRSS MDPI Initiatives SciProfiles Sciforum Encyclopedia MDPI Books Scilit Proceedings JAMS Important Links Advisory Board Collections How It Works Preprints Friendly Journals Reading List News Statistics 2023 Popular Award 2025 Book Day Events Subscribe Choose an area of interest and we will send you notifications of new preprints at your preferred frequency. Subscribe © 2025 MDPI (Basel, Switzerland) unless otherwise stated Disclaimer Disclaimer Terms of Use Privacy Policy © 2025 MDPI (Basel, Switzerland) unless otherwise stated
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