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Credibility Rating

3/5
Good(3)

Good quality. Reputable source with community review or editorial standards, but less rigorous than peer-reviewed venues.

Rating inherited from publication venue: Center for Applied Rationality

CFAR (Center for Applied Rationality) provides a financial overview for 2018-2019 and 2020 projections, relevant to AI safety as CFAR runs workshops aimed at improving reasoning for AI safety researchers and receives funding from major AI safety funders like Open Philanthropy and BERI.

Metadata

Importance: 22/100organizational reportreference

Summary

This document provides an informal financial overview of CFAR's income and expenses for 2018 and 2019, along with projections for 2020. Key highlights include a $2.2M revenue in 2018 (largely from BERI for venue purchase), $1.5M in 2019 grants and workshop revenue, and a concerning funding gap after Open Philanthropy decided to discontinue general support. CFAR had approximately 12 months of runway as of late 2019, below their 18-month target.

Key Points

  • In 2018, CFAR received ~$2.2M, with half from BERI including $800k for a permanent venue in Bodega Bay.
  • In 2019, CFAR received ~$1.5M, 84% from grants (Open Phil, BERI, LTFF, SFF) and 16% from workshop revenue.
  • Open Philanthropy discontinued general support (~$500k/year) after 2019, offering only a partial exit grant of $375k in 2020.
  • CFAR had ~12 months of runway as of December 2019, below their 18-month operational target.
  • LessWrong, SPARC, and ESPR are legally housed within CFAR but independently funded and excluded from these figures.

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Note: This document is intended as an informal, easily-readable overview of CFAR’s income and expenses in 2018 and 2019, and of our financial projections for 2020. You can view our 2019 Independent Auditor’s Report here , and our most recent 990 here . 

 2018 Income

 In 2018, CFAR 1 received approximately $2.2 million in revenue. Half this sum came in the form of general support from BERI (the Berkeley Existential Risk Initiative), $800k of which was granted to fund the down payment on our purchase of a permanent venue in Bodega Bay. The remainder was a mix of grants from Open Philanthropy Project and Long-Term Future Fund, individual contributions, and workshop revenue.

 

 2018 Expenses

 In 2018, CFAR spent approximately $2.6 million. ~40% of this sum went toward the purchase and renovation of our venue in Bodega Bay, ~25% went to salaries, and the rest went toward programs and operating expenses.

 Note that the figures for “programs” below (i.e. for mainlines, AI safety workshops, etc.) only include expenses we wouldn’t otherwise have incurred had we not run that workshop on the margin—e.g., they don’t include recurring, mostly-independent costs like staff salaries and venue maintenance.

 

 Since we bought and renovated our permanent venue in 2018, venue-related expenses composed a large portion of our budget that year. You can see this category broken down here:

 

 2019 Income

 As of December 1, CFAR had received approximately $1.5 million in 2019. 84% of this sum came from grants (mostly from Open Phil, BERI, LTFF 2 , SFF, and an anonymous charitable fund), and 16% came from workshop revenue.

 

 2019 Expenses

 As of November 1, CFAR had spent approximately $1.4 million.

 

 2020 Outlook

 As of December 1, CFAR has about $1.4 million—$650,000 of cash, $575,000 of expected grants, and roughly $215,000 of accounts receivable (expected reimbursements from MIRI for AIRCS and MSFP).

 In 2020, we expect to spend approximately $115,000 per month, although that fluctuates as (among other things) a function of our staff size and workshop output rate. Assuming our expenses and workshop revenue in 2020 are similar to those in 2019, CFAR currently has about 12 months of runway; in general, we aim to operate at about 18 months of runway.

 We’re planning to apply for a $225,000/year renewal grant from SFF in 2020. The Open Philanthropy Project, which funded CFAR at about $500k/year from 2016-2019, has decided not to continue providing us general support at this time. However, they are recommending a partial exit grant of $375k in 2020. We are currently seeking new sources of funding to avoid major cutbacks to our budget and strategic plan.

 Footnotes

 
 
 
 
 While LessWrong, SPARC, and ESPR are legally housed within CFAR, they are independently funded and managed, and all figures in this document exclude their finances. ↩ 

 

 
 LTFF made one $150k grant directly; they later recommended an additional $150k grant, which was filled

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