Longterm Wiki

AI-Enabled Authoritarian Takeover

StructuralCatastrophic

AI could enable authoritarian regimes that are fundamentally more stable and durable than historical autocracies. The concern is that AI-powered authoritarianism might become effectively permanent, with comprehensive surveillance, predictive systems, and automated enforcement closing off traditional pathways for political change.

Severity
Catastrophic
Likelihood
Medium
Time Horizon
2025–2050 (median 2035)
Maturity
Growing

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Related Entities4

Sources2

The Precipice
Toby Ord, 2020

Assessment

SeverityCatastrophic
LikelihoodMedium
Time Horizon2025–2050 (median 2035)
MaturityGrowing
CategoryStructural

Details

TypeStructural
Key FeatureLock-in of oppressive systems

Tags

x-riskgovernanceauthoritarianismsurveillancelock-in

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