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AI That Can Match Humans at Any Task Will Be Here in 5–10 Years, Google DeepMind CEO Says

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Credibility Rating

3/5
Good(3)

Good quality. Reputable source with community review or editorial standards, but less rigorous than peer-reviewed venues.

Rating inherited from publication venue: CNBC

A high-profile industry statement from a leading AI lab CEO on AGI timelines; useful as a reference point for tracking how AI leaders publicly frame capabilities progress and safety priorities as of early 2025.

Metadata

Importance: 52/100news articlenews

Summary

Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis predicts that artificial general intelligence (AGI) capable of matching humans at any cognitive task will arrive within 5 to 10 years. He discusses the accelerating pace of AI development and emphasizes the importance of safety research keeping pace with capabilities. The article highlights industry leader perspectives on the AGI timeline debate.

Key Points

  • Demis Hassabis estimates human-level AI (AGI) will arrive within 5–10 years, reflecting an acceleration in timelines among leading AI researchers.
  • Hassabis stresses that safety research must advance in parallel with capabilities to ensure AGI is developed responsibly.
  • The prediction reflects a broader trend of shortened AGI timelines from major AI lab leaders compared to estimates from just a few years ago.
  • DeepMind's stance underscores growing urgency around AI governance, alignment, and deployment policy discussions.
  • The article situates this forecast within ongoing debates about what 'human-level' AI means and how to measure it.

Cited by 1 page

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AI TimelinesConcept95.0

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Human-level AI will be here in 5 to 10 years, DeepMind CEO says Skip Navigation Markets Business Investing Tech Politics Video Watchlist Investing Club PRO Livestream Menu 

 Key Points Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis said he thinks artificial general intelligence, or AGI, will emerge in the next five or 10 years.
 AGI broadly relates to AI that is as smart or smarter than humans.
 "We're not quite there yet. These systems are very impressive at certain things. But there are other things they can't do yet, and we've still got quite a lot of research work to go before that," Hassabis said.
 Google DeepMind co-founder and Chief Executive Officer Demis Hassabis speaks during the Mobile World Congress, the telecom industry's biggest annual gathering, in Barcelona, Spain, Feb. 26, 2024. Pau Barrena | Afp | Getty Images LONDON — Artificial intelligence that can match humans at any task is still some way off — but it's only a matter of time before it becomes a reality, according to the CEO of Google DeepMind.

 Speaking at a briefing in DeepMind's London offices on Monday, Demis Hassabis said that he thinks artificial general intelligence (AGI) — which is as smart or smarter than humans — will start to emerge in the next five or 10 years.

 "I think today's systems, they're very passive, but there's still a lot of things they can't do. But I think over the next five to 10 years, a lot of those capabilities will start coming to the fore and we'll start moving towards what we call artificial general intelligence," Hassabis said.

 Hassabis defined AGI as "a system that's able to exhibit all the complicated capabilities that humans can."

 "We're not quite there yet. These systems are very impressive at certain things. But there are other things they can't do yet, and we've still got quite a lot of research work to go before that," Hassabis said.

 Hassabis isn't alone in suggesting that it'll take a while for AGI to appear. Last year, the CEO of Chinese tech giant Baidu Robin Li said he sees AGI is " more than 10 years away ," pushing back on excitable predictions from some of his peers about this breakthrough taking place in a much shorter timeframe.

 Some time to go yet

 Hassabis' forecast pushes the timeline to reach AGI some way back compared to what his industry peers have been sketching out.

 Dario Amodei, CEO of AI startup Anthropic, told CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland in January that he sees a form of AI that's "better than almost all humans at almost all tasks" emerging in the "next two or three years."

 VIDEO 9:13 09:13 Watch CNBC's full interview with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei Other tech leaders see AGI arriving even sooner. Cisco's Chief Product Officer Jeetu Patel thinks there's a chance we could see an example of AGI emerge as soon as this year. "There's three major phases" to AI, Patel told CNBC 

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