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AI Timelines - Footnote 27

Verdictpartial85%
1 check · 4/3/2026

The claim mentions that some long-term forecasts tracked closer to observed compute and capability trends, but the source does not explicitly state this. It only mentions that some forecasts proved overly optimistic. The source does not explicitly mention that Hans Moravec and Ray Kurzweil used quantitative trend extrapolation.

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en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winterresource
partial85%Haiku 4.5 · 4/3/2026

NoteThe claim mentions that some long-term forecasts tracked closer to observed compute and capability trends, but the source does not explicitly state this. It only mentions that some forecasts proved overly optimistic. The source does not explicitly mention that Hans Moravec and Ray Kurzweil used quantitative trend extrapolation.

Case № page:ai-timelines:fn27Filed 4/3/2026Confidence 85%