Division: RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)
The source text directly confirms all three key fields: (1) name 'RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)' is explicitly stated multiple times throughout the page; (2) type as a 'program-area' is consistent with how RFI is presented as a program/initiative within RAND's Global and Emerging Risks division; (3) status as 'active' is confirmed by the current operational content, active leadership, recent blog posts (Dec 2025, Feb 2025), ongoing forecaster recruitment, and contact information for current engagement. There are no contradictions in the source material.
Our claim
entire record- Slug
- rand-forecasting
- Parent Org
- RAND Corporation
- Name
- RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)
- Division Type
- program-area
- Status
- active
- Notes
- Crowdsourced forecasts including superforecasters on AI timelines and geopolitical AI developments.
Source evidence
1 src · 1 checkNoteThe source text directly confirms all three key fields: (1) name 'RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)' is explicitly stated multiple times throughout the page; (2) type as a 'program-area' is consistent with how RFI is presented as a program/initiative within RAND's Global and Emerging Risks division; (3) status as 'active' is confirmed by the current operational content, active leadership, recent blog posts (Dec 2025, Feb 2025), ongoing forecaster recruitment, and contact information for current engagement. There are no contradictions in the source material.