division
RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)
Metadata
| Source Table | divisions |
| Source ID | iBFEUcKCAO |
| Description | program-area |
| Source URL | www.rand.org/global-and-emerging-risks/forecasting-initiative.html |
| Parent | RAND Corporation |
| Children | — |
| Created | Mar 23, 2026, 2:14 PM |
| Updated | Mar 23, 2026, 2:14 PM |
| Synced | Mar 23, 2026, 2:14 PM |
Record Data
id | iBFEUcKCAO |
slug | rand-forecasting |
parentOrgId | RAND Corporation(organization) |
name | RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI) |
divisionType | program-area |
lead | — |
status | active |
startDate | — |
endDate | — |
website | www.rand.org/global-and-emerging-risks/forecasting-initiative.html |
source | www.rand.org/global-and-emerging-risks/forecasting-initiative.html |
notes | Crowdsourced forecasts including superforecasters on AI timelines and geopolitical AI developments. |
Source Check Verdicts
confirmed95% confidence
Last checked: 4/14/2026
The source text directly confirms all three key fields: (1) name 'RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI)' is explicitly stated multiple times throughout the page; (2) type as a 'program-area' is consistent with how RFI is presented as a program/initiative within RAND's Global and Emerging Risks division; (3) status as 'active' is confirmed by the current operational content, active leadership, recent blog posts (Dec 2025, Feb 2025), ongoing forecaster recruitment, and contact information for current engagement. There are no contradictions in the source material.
Debug info
Thing ID: iBFEUcKCAO
Source Table: divisions
Source ID: iBFEUcKCAO