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Grant: FutureSearch – Benchmark for Language Model Forecasting (Coefficient Giving → FutureSearch)

Verdictconfirmed95%
1 check · 4/9/2026

Deterministic match: grantee, amount, date matched in source snapshot (2714 rows)

Our claim

entire record
Name
FutureSearch – Benchmark for Language Model Forecasting
Amount
$606,600
Currency
USD
Date
March 2024
Notes
[Navigating Transformative AI] Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of $606,600 to FutureSearch to support the development of a benchmark to evaluate the ability of large language models (LLMs) to forecast geopolitical events. The benchmark will be freely available to the publicexpand[Navigating Transformative AI] Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of $606,600 to FutureSearch to support the development of a benchmark to evaluate the ability of large language models (LLMs) to forecast geopolitical events. The benchmark will be freely available to the public. This grant was funded via a request for proposals for projects benchmarking LLM agents on consequential real-world tasks. This falls within our focus area of potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence.

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check
confirmed95%deterministic-row-match · 4/9/2026
Name
FutureSearch – Benchmark for Language Model Forecasting
Grantee
FutureSearch
Focus Area
Navigating Transformative AI
Amount
$606,600.00
Date
March 2024
Description
Open Phi

NoteDeterministic match: grantee, amount, date matched in source snapshot (2714 rows)

Case № BzAkWAQuOCFiled 4/9/2026Confidence 95%