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FutureSearch – Benchmark for Language Model Forecasting

Child of Coefficient Giving

Metadata

Source Tablegrants
Source IDBzAkWAQuOC
Descriptionto FutureSearch, USD 606600, 2024-03
Source URLcoefficientgiving.org/funds/
ParentCoefficient Giving
Children
CreatedMar 12, 2026, 5:54 AM
UpdatedMar 23, 2026, 3:17 PM
SyncedMar 19, 2026, 8:57 PM

Record Data

idBzAkWAQuOC
organizationIdCoefficient Giving(organization)
granteeIdFutureSearch(organization)
orgEntityIdCoefficient Giving(organization)
orgDisplayName
granteeEntityIdFutureSearch(organization)
granteeDisplayName162
nameFutureSearch – Benchmark for Language Model Forecasting
amount606600
currencyUSD
period
date2024-03
status
sourcecoefficientgiving.org/funds/
notes[Navigating Transformative AI] Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of $606,600 to FutureSearch to support the development of a benchmark to evaluate the ability of large language models (LLMs) to forecast geopolitical events. The benchmark will be freely available to the public. This grant was fu
programIdEXpTP-ujq6
dataSourceId

Source Check Verdicts

confirmed95% confidence

Last checked: 4/9/2026

[deterministic-row-match] Deterministic match: grantee, amount, date matched in source snapshot (2714 rows)

Debug info

Thing ID: BzAkWAQuOC

Source Table: grants

Source ID: BzAkWAQuOC

Parent Thing ID: sid_ULjDXpSLCI