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Grant eD1Wc2nfIZ

Verdictpartial75%
1 check · 4/29/2026

1 → partial

Our claim

entire record
Name
Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risks
Amount
$1,450
Currency
USD
Date
February 24, 2023
Notes
[ACX mini-grants, Forecasting] Forecasting GCRs is hard. How can we do it better, and how much better is that?

Source evidence

1 src · 1 check
partial75%Haiku 4.5 · 4/11/2026

NoteThe source confirms the name, grantee (Damien Laird), and funder (Manifund). However, the claimed amount of $1,449.55 does not match the '$1,000 raised' figure shown in the source. The source shows '$1,000 raised' and '$450 valuation', which sum to $1,450 (very close to $1,449.55 but not exact). The specific date of 2023-02-24 is not mentioned in the source text. The Wayback Machine timestamp shows 2026-01-15, which is a capture date, not the grant date. Without explicit confirmation of the exact amount and date in the source, these fields are unverifiable, making the overall record only partially confirmed.

Case № eD1Wc2nfIZFiled 4/29/2026Confidence 75%
Source Check: Grant eD1Wc2nfIZ | Longterm Wiki