Skip to content
Longterm Wiki
grant

Blog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risks

Child of Manifund

Metadata

Source Tablegrants
Source IDeD1Wc2nfIZ
Descriptionto Damien Laird, USD 1449.55, 2023-02-24
Source URLmanifund.org/projects/blog-about-forecasting-global-catastrophic-risks
ParentManifund
Children
CreatedMar 12, 2026, 4:59 PM
UpdatedMar 14, 2026, 6:22 AM
SyncedMar 12, 2026, 4:59 PM

Record Data

ideD1Wc2nfIZ
organizationIdManifund(organization)
granteeIdDamien Laird
orgEntityIdManifund(organization)
orgDisplayName
granteeEntityId
granteeDisplayNameDamien Laird
nameBlog about Forecasting Global Catastrophic Risks
amount1449.55
currencyUSD
period
date2023-02-24
status
sourcemanifund.org/projects/blog-about-forecasting-global-catastrophic-risks
notes[ACX mini-grants, Forecasting] Forecasting GCRs is hard. How can we do it better, and how much better is that?
programId8jnn54YEbQ
dataSourceId

Source Check Verdicts

partial75% confidence

Last checked: 4/11/2026

The source confirms the name, grantee (Damien Laird), and funder (Manifund). However, the claimed amount of $1,449.55 does not match the '$1,000 raised' figure shown in the source. The source shows '$1,000 raised' and '$450 valuation', which sum to $1,450 (very close to $1,449.55 but not exact). The specific date of 2023-02-24 is not mentioned in the source text. The Wayback Machine timestamp shows 2026-01-15, which is a capture date, not the grant date. Without explicit confirmation of the exact amount and date in the source, these fields are unverifiable, making the overall record only partially confirmed.

Debug info

Thing ID: eD1Wc2nfIZ

Source Table: grants

Source ID: eD1Wc2nfIZ

Parent Thing ID: sid_fFVOuFZCRf