Metadata
| Source Table | grants |
| Source ID | dPUDZom60r |
| Description | to David Rhys Bernard, USD 4548.33, 2023-02-26 |
| Source URL | manifund.org/projects/superforecaster-predictions-of-long-term-impacts |
| Parent | Manifund |
| Children | — |
| Created | Mar 12, 2026, 4:59 PM |
| Updated | Mar 14, 2026, 6:22 AM |
| Synced | Mar 12, 2026, 4:59 PM |
Record Data
id | dPUDZom60r |
organizationId | Manifund(organization) |
granteeId | David Rhys Bernard |
orgEntityId | Manifund(organization) |
orgDisplayName | — |
granteeEntityId | — |
granteeDisplayName | David Rhys Bernard |
name | Superforecaster predictions of long-term impacts |
amount | 4548.33 |
currency | USD |
period | — |
date | 2023-02-26 |
status | — |
source | manifund.org/projects/superforecaster-predictions-of-long-term-impacts |
notes | [ACX mini-grants, Forecasting] I will pay 30 superforecasters to make forecasts of long-run treatment effects from randomised control trials |
programId | 8jnn54YEbQ |
dataSourceId | — |
Source Check Verdicts
partial75% confidence
Last checked: 4/11/2026
The record claims an amount of $4,548.33, but the source text indicates the project raised $2,999 and David Rhys Bernard's own comment states he 'received' $3,000 total. The claimed amount of $4,548.33 is not mentioned anywhere in the source. The date of 2023-02-26 cannot be verified from the source text (which shows a 2025 archive date and references to 'almost 3 years ago' comments). The grantee (David Rhys Bernard) and funder (Manifund) are confirmed. The amount is contradicted or at minimum unverifiable as stated.
Debug info
Thing ID: dPUDZom60r
Source Table: grants
Source ID: dPUDZom60r
Parent Thing ID: sid_fFVOuFZCRf