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Fatebook and Quantified Intuitions

Child of Manifund

Metadata

Source Tablegrants
Source IDuC3kAg-w1E
Descriptionto Adam Binksmith, USD 1025, 2024-08-22
Source URLmanifund.org/projects/fatebook-and-quantified-intuitions
ParentManifund
Children
CreatedMar 12, 2026, 4:59 PM
UpdatedMar 14, 2026, 6:22 AM
SyncedMar 12, 2026, 4:59 PM

Record Data

iduC3kAg-w1E
organizationIdManifund(organization)
granteeIdAdam Binksmith
orgEntityIdManifund(organization)
orgDisplayName
granteeEntityId
granteeDisplayNameAdam Binksmith
nameFatebook and Quantified Intuitions
amount1025
currencyUSD
period
date2024-08-22
status
sourcemanifund.org/projects/fatebook-and-quantified-intuitions
notes[EA Community Choice, Forecasting] Forecasting tools by Sage. Fatebook: the fastest way to track your predictions. Quantified Intuitions: Forecasting training tools with rapid feedback loops
programId8jnn54YEbQ
dataSourceId

Source Check Verdicts

partial85% confidence

Last checked: 4/9/2026

The record claims a grant of $1,025 from Manifund to Adam Binksmith for 'Fatebook and Quantified Intuitions' dated 2024-08-22. The source confirms the name, grantee, and funder. However, the source shows '$1,025 raised' as part of an ongoing fundraising campaign with a '$415,000 funding goal', which suggests this may be a donation/pledge rather than a completed grant, or the $1,025 may represent only one contribution. The date 2024-08-22 cannot be verified from this source—the Wayback Machine capture is from 2026-01-22, and the source does not explicitly state when the $1,025 was granted. The amount matches exactly, but the context (ongoing fundraising campaign) and unverifiable grant date create uncertainty about whether this represents a single discrete grant or part of a larger fundraising effort.

Debug info

Thing ID: uC3kAg-w1E

Source Table: grants

Source ID: uC3kAg-w1E

Parent Thing ID: sid_fFVOuFZCRf