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AI Timelines

ai-timelinesconceptPath: /knowledge-base/models/ai-timelines/
E16Entity ID (EID)
← Back to page4 backlinksQuality: 95Updated: 2026-02-26
Page Recorddatabase.json — merged from MDX frontmatter + Entity YAML + computed metrics at build time
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      "text": "Cotra (2022)",
      "url": "https://www.alignmentforum.org/posts/AfH2oPHCApdKicM4m/two-year-update-on-my-personal-ai-timelines",
      "resourceId": "ea2056de17a8ed59",
      "resourceTitle": "Two-Year Update on My Personal AI Timelines (Ajeya Cotra)"
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      "text": "Expert Survey (2023)",
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      "resourceId": "420c48ee4c61fe6c",
      "resourceTitle": "2023 AI researcher survey"
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      "text": "Metaculus Aggregate (2026)",
      "url": "https://agi.goodheartlabs.com/",
      "resourceId": "62e56523995e761b",
      "resourceTitle": "AGI Timelines Dashboard"
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      "text": "Davidson (2021)",
      "url": "https://www.openphilanthropy.org/research/semi-informative-priors-over-ai-timelines/",
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      "resourceTitle": "Semi-Informative Priors Over AI Timelines"
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      "text": "AI Futures Model (Dec 2025)",
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      "resourceId": "a1c863df9c0fa30c",
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      "text": "AI 2027 (Apr 2025, updated Jan 2026)",
      "url": "https://blog.ai-futures.org/p/clarifying-how-our-ai-timelines-forecasts",
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      "resourceTitle": "Clarifying How Our AI Timelines Forecasts Have Changed Since AI 2027"
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External Links
{
  "lesswrong": "https://www.lesswrong.com/tag/ai-timelines",
  "eaForum": "https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/ai-forecasting"
}
Backlinks (4)
idtitletyperelationship
ai-compute-scaling-metricsAI Compute Scaling Metricsanalysis—
epoch-aiEpoch AIorganization—
neel-nandaNeel Nandaperson—
ai-governance-interventions-timelineAI Governance Interventions Timelineconcept—