Mesa-Optimization Risk Analysis

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  "summary": "Comprehensive risk framework for mesa-optimization estimating 10-70% emergence probability in frontier systems with 50-90% conditional misalignment likelihood, emphasizing quadratic capability-risk scaling (C²×M^1.5). Recommends interpretability research as primary intervention with specific research directions for labs, safety orgs, and policymakers across 2025-2030+ timelines.",
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