Nonprofit research organization founded by Nick Bostrom in 2024 after leaving Oxford and the closure of the Future of Humanity Institute. Focuses on macrostrategy research examining how present-day actions connect to long-term outcomes for humanity.
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Future of Humanity Institute
The Future of Humanity Institute was a pioneering interdisciplinary research center at Oxford University (2005-2024) that founded the fields of exi...
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The strongest formal argument that AI poses existential risk to humanity. Expert surveys find median extinction probability of 5-14% by 2100, with ...
Carlsmith's Six-Premise Argument
Joe Carlsmith's probabilistic decomposition of AI existential risk into six conditional premises. Originally estimated ~5% risk by 2070, updated to...
The Case Against AI Existential Risk
This analysis synthesizes the strongest skeptical arguments against AI existential risk.