Anthropic Impact Assessment Model

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  "title": "Anthropic Impact Assessment Model",
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  "lastUpdated": "2026-02-04",
  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "summary": "Models Anthropic's net impact on AI safety by weighing positive contributions (safety research \\$100-200M/year, Constitutional AI as industry standard, largest interpretability team globally, RSP framework adoption) against negative factors (racing dynamics adding 6-18 months to capability timelines, commercial pressure evidenced by RSP weakening, documented alignment faking at 12% rate). Net assessment: contested—optimistic scenarios show clearly positive impact, pessimistic scenarios suggest net negative due to racing acceleration.",
  "description": "Framework for estimating Anthropic's net impact on AI safety outcomes. Models the tension between safety research value (\\$100-200M/year, industry-leading interpretability) and racing dynamics contribution (6-18 month timeline compression). Net impact remains contested.",
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        "title": "Anthropic Core Views",
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