Elon Musk: Track Record

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  "summary": "Comprehensive documentation of Elon Musk's prediction track record showing systematic overoptimism on timelines (FSD predictions missed by 6+ years across 15+ instances, AGI predictions shift forward annually, Dojo project failed after 6 years). Early AI safety warnings (2014-2017) were prescient and influenced mainstream discourse, but product/capability predictions consistently miss by 3-6+ years with high stated confidence.",
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      "text": "Tom's Hardware",
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