Sam Altman: Track Record

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  "title": "Sam Altman: Track Record",
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  "summary": "Comprehensive tracking of Sam Altman's predictions shows he's directionally correct on AI trajectory and cost declines (10x/year validated) but consistently wrong on specific timelines (self-driving 2015, ChatGPT Pro profitability, GPT-5 launch). Pattern analysis reveals rhetoric shift from 'end of world' (2015) to 'will matter less than people think' (2024-25), with 4-5 clearly correct predictions, 3-4 wrong, and 10+ pending testable claims for 2025-2030.",
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      "text": "Moore's Law for Everything",
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