Yann LeCun: Track Record

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  "summary": "Comprehensive compilation of Yann LeCun's predictions showing he was correct on long-term architectural intuitions (neural networks, self-supervised learning dominance, radiologists not replaced by 2022) but consistently underestimated near-term LLM capabilities (dismissing GPT-3, claiming LLMs 'cannot reason'). His track record shows 4-5 clearly correct predictions, 3-4 likely wrong/overstated claims, and 6-8 pending predictions including his career-defining bet that LLMs will be obsolete within 5 years (by ~2030).",
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      "text": "LeCun's 2022 Paper - \"A Path Towards Autonomous Machine Intelligence\"",
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