[Forecasting] Grant Investigator: Carl Shulman This page was reviewed but not written by the grant investigator. Metaculus staff also reviewed this page prior to publication. Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $100,000 with Metaculus to support work related to forecasting the future of machine learning. This falls within our focus area of potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence. This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While we typically do not publish pages for contractor agreements, we occasionally opt to do so. This contract was recommended by an external investigator, Carl Shulman. External investigators are not full-time staff. Grants and contracts recommended by external investigators go through our standard process where reasoning and recommendations are discussed in detail with Open Philanthropy decision-makers. External investigators are prohibited from recommending grants to or contracts with organizations they are affiliated with.
Other Grants by Coefficient Giving
2625| Grant | Recipient | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Janaagraha — Air Quality Grants Assessment | $195K | Dec 2024 | |
| Futurewise — Housing Advocacy in Washington | $450K | Apr 2023 | |
| Exscientia — Agonists for Interferon Lambda | $2.3M | Sep 2023 | |
| Kurzgesagt — Short-form Video Content | $3M | Mar 2022 | |
| Kurzgesagt — Video Production (2023) | $1.7M | May 2023 | |
| Kurzgesagt — Video Creation and Translation | $2.6M | Dec 2021 | |
| Lightcone Infrastructure – General Support | Lighthaven (Event Venue) | $4.5M | Sep 2022 |
| Lightcone Infrastructure — General Support (2023) | Lighthaven (Event Venue) | $3M | Oct 2023 |
| Conjecture — Cybersecurity Bootcamp | Conjecture | $223K | Jun 2025 |
| Conjecture — AI Safety Technical Program | Conjecture | $224K | May 2023 |