Longterm Wiki

Philip Tetlock (Forecasting Pioneer)

Person
Employed By
as of Jan 2011
Role / Title
Leonore Annenberg University Professor
as of Dec 2010
Birth Year
1954

All Facts

People

Employed ByZx7ckq6sywJan 2011
Role / TitleLeonore Annenberg University ProfessorDec 2010
As OfValueSourceFact ID
Dec 2010Leonore Annenberg University Professorf_pT3rK7mW5x

Background

Birth Year1954
As OfValueSourceFact ID
1954wikidata.orgjjWpOtd4OQ
EducationYale University; University of British Columbia2 pts
As OfValueSourceFact ID
Yale University; University of British Columbiawikidata.orgPLYgQRHbJA
B.A. Psychology, University of British Columbia (1975); M.A. Psychology (1976); Ph.D. Psychology, Yale University (1979)f_pTfB4gN7mD
Notable ForPioneered science of superforecasting; authored Expert Political Judgment (2005) and Superforecasting (2015); co-led Good Judgment Project winning IARPA tournament 2011-2015; identified superforecasters outperforming intelligence analysts by 60-85%Mar 2026
As OfValueSourceFact ID
Mar 2026Pioneered science of superforecasting; authored Expert Political Judgment (2005) and Superforecasting (2015); co-led Good Judgment Project winning IARPA tournament 2011-2015; identified superforecasters outperforming intelligence analysts by 60-85%f_pT6tN2pQ1v
Internal Metadata
IDBCisPStEdQ
Stable IDBCisPStEdQ
Numeric IDE434
Typeperson
YAML Sourcepackages/kb/data/things/philip-tetlock.yaml
Facts6 structured (7 total)