AC
Ajeya Cotra
Bio Anchors AI timelines report, AI safety grantmaking, intelligence explosion analysis, crunch time framework
Current Role
Member of Technical Staff at METR (formerly Senior Advisor at Coefficient Giving)
Organization
METR
Expert Positions2 topics
| Topic | View | Estimate | Confidence | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGI Timelines | Medium-short | 15% by 2036, 50% by 2060 (Bio Anchors); early 2030s top-expert-dominating AI | medium | 2020 |
| Takeoff Speed | Fast software loop, then hardware follows | 6-12 month crunch time window | medium | 2026 |
Sources: Bio Anchors report (2020) · 80,000 Hours Podcast
Publications & Resources1
Eliciting Latent Knowledge (ELK)
→2021Technical ReportAlignment Research
No career history recorded.
No education information recorded.
No funding connections recorded.
Links
Facts4
People
Role / TitleMember of Technical Staff at METR (formerly Senior Advisor at Coefficient Giving)
Employed ByMETR
Biographical
Notable ForBio Anchors AI timelines report, AI safety grantmaking, intelligence explosion analysis, crunch time framework
General
Websitehttps://metr.org