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Credibility Rating

4/5
High(4)

High quality. Established institution or organization with editorial oversight and accountability.

Rating inherited from publication venue: OECD

Relevant for AI safety researchers and policymakers interested in the socioeconomic consequences of automation; provides empirical grounding for debates about AI-driven labor displacement often discussed in governance and societal-impact contexts.

Metadata

Importance: 55/100working paperanalysis

Summary

This OECD publication examines the empirical outcomes for workers in jobs previously identified as highly susceptible to automation, assessing whether predicted job displacement actually materialized. It provides evidence-based analysis of how labor markets have adapted to technological change, informing debates about AI and automation's real-world employment impacts.

Key Points

  • Tracks actual employment outcomes for jobs classified as high-risk of automation to compare predictions with reality
  • Provides OECD-level empirical data on whether automation fears translated into measurable job losses across member countries
  • Examines labor market adaptation mechanisms such as job transformation, task reallocation, and worker transitions
  • Contributes to the evidence base for policymakers designing workforce and social protection responses to AI/automation
  • Challenges or contextualizes earlier high-profile automation risk estimates (e.g., Frey & Osborne) with observed outcomes

Cached Content Preview

HTTP 200Fetched Apr 7, 202682 KB
What happened to jobs at high risk of automation? | OECD
 
 
 
 
 

 
 

 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 
 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 

 

 

 

 
 
 
 

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The Wayback Machine - http://web.archive.org/web/20260318095106/https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/what-happened-to-jobs-at-high-risk-of-automation_10bc97f4-en.html

 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 

 

 

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Resource ID: 0f360bea8367b6b7 | Stable ID: sid_salCJoDVFB