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| Page | Type | Quality |
|---|---|---|
| Large Language Models | Concept | 62.0 |
| AI Compute Scaling Metrics | Analysis | 78.0 |
| AI Capability Threshold Model | Analysis | 72.0 |
| Epoch AI | Organization | 51.0 |
| Compute Thresholds | Policy | 91.0 |
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Machine Learning Trends
A dashboard curating key trends and statistics on artificial intelligence, showcasing the growth of this technology and offering a glimpse into its future.
Last updated on Dec 9, 2025
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Display growth values in:
The Epoch Capabilities index
Confident
+15.5 ECI per year
Model capabilities have grown faster since the start of 2024. 90% confidence interval: +13 to +18 ECI per year.
Compute stock growth
Likely
199.5
x /year
The total computing power of the stock of NVIDIA chips is growing by . 90% confidence interval: to .
FLOP/s per dollar
Confident
23.4
x /year
Performance per dollar improves by each year . 90% confidence interval: to .
Training compute
Confident
100000.0
x /year
Training compute for frontier language models has been growing by since 2020. 90% confidence interval: to .
Algorithmic progress
Likely
1000.0
% /year
The compute required to achieve a given level of prediction accuracy in language model pre-training is declining at a rate of . 90% confidence interval: to .
Lar
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