Understanding US Allies' Legal Authority on Export Controls
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Relevant to AI governance discussions around compute controls; provides policy-focused legal analysis of how US allies can restrict semiconductor and AI exports, complementing US-led efforts to limit advanced AI diffusion to adversaries.
Metadata
Summary
This CSIS analysis examines the existing legal frameworks that US allies possess to implement export controls on AI technologies and semiconductors, assessing how allied nations can coordinate with US restrictions without requiring new legislation. It evaluates the current authorities in key partner countries and identifies gaps or opportunities for multilateral alignment on technology export policy.
Key Points
- •Surveys the legal export control authorities of key US allies relevant to AI chips and semiconductor technologies.
- •Assesses whether allied nations can act on export restrictions using existing laws or require new legislative action.
- •Highlights the importance of multilateral coordination to prevent circumvention of US unilateral export controls.
- •Identifies strategic opportunities and gaps in allied legal frameworks for harmonizing technology export policy.
- •Relevant to ongoing efforts to limit adversary access to advanced AI compute infrastructure.
Cited by 2 pages
| Page | Type | Quality |
|---|---|---|
| Intervention Timing Windows | Analysis | 72.0 |
| Governance-Focused Worldview | Concept | 67.0 |
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Understanding U.S. Allies’ Current Legal Authority to Implement AI and Semiconductor Export Controls
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Understanding U.S. Allies’ Current Legal Authority to Implement AI and Semiconductor Export Controls
Photo: liangpv via Getty Images
Report
by
Gregory C. Allen
and
Isaac Goldston
Published March 14, 2025
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Executive Summary
Since October 2022, the United States has devoted significant resources to restricting China’s access to artificial intelligence (AI) and advanced semiconductor technologies. In the final months of the Biden administration, the Department of Commerce issued four additional far-reaching export control updates. On December 2, 2024, it released two rules that added 140 companies to the Entity List, expanded the scope of the Foreign Direct Product Rule (FDPR), and restricted new technology areas such as high-bandwidth memory, among other measures. In the second week of January 2025, the Department of Commerce issued the AI Diffusion Framework and the Foundry Due Diligence Rule , further shaping the spread of AI and semiconductor technologies throughout the world. Export controls remain front and center for the second Trump administration, which directed an effort to “identify and eliminate loopholes in existing export controls—especially those that enable the transfer of strategic goods, software, services, and technology . . . to strategic rivals and their proxies” on its first day in office.
However, countries like the Netherlands, Germany, South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan continue to control key chokepoints in the AI and semiconductor value chain, making unilateral action only so effective. Furthermore, the existing multilateral export control architecture is neither sufficiently flexible nor fast to allow for the kind of sophisticated, targeted controls that the United States has levied on China. The success or failure of the U.S. export control strategy is thus dependent on its allies’ ability to implement controls outside of this traditional architecture or U.S. extraterritorial regulations covering allies.
This paper provides an in-depth analysis of U.S. allies’ export control authorities related to AI and semiconductor technologies and does the same analysis for China. It demonstrates that U.S. allies often do not have equivalents to U.S. export control authorities and tools like the FDPR and Entity List, but that they generally do have the capability to introduce s
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