Longterm Wiki

Eli Lifland

eli-liflandpersonPath: /knowledge-base/people/eli-lifland/
E435Entity ID (EID)
← Back to page4 backlinksQuality: 58Updated: 2026-03-13
Page Recorddatabase.json — merged from MDX frontmatter + Entity YAML + computed metrics at build time
{
  "id": "eli-lifland",
  "numericId": null,
  "path": "/knowledge-base/people/eli-lifland/",
  "filePath": "knowledge-base/people/eli-lifland.mdx",
  "title": "Eli Lifland",
  "quality": 58,
  "readerImportance": 27,
  "researchImportance": 40.5,
  "tacticalValue": null,
  "contentFormat": "article",
  "tractability": null,
  "neglectedness": null,
  "uncertainty": null,
  "causalLevel": null,
  "lastUpdated": "2026-03-13",
  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "llmSummary": "Biographical profile of Eli Lifland, a top-ranked forecaster and AI safety researcher who co-authored the AI 2027 scenario forecast and co-founded the AI Futures Project. The page documents his forecasting track record, the AI Futures timelines model, and his contributions to AI safety discourse.",
  "description": "Forecaster and AI safety researcher specializing in AGI timelines forecasting, scenario planning, and AI governance. Ranks #1 on the RAND Forecasting Initiative all-time leaderboard and co-authored the AI 2027 scenario forecast.",
  "ratings": {
    "novelty": 4,
    "rigor": 6,
    "actionability": 5,
    "completeness": 8
  },
  "category": "people",
  "subcategory": "forecasters",
  "clusters": [
    "ai-safety",
    "epistemics"
  ],
  "metrics": {
    "wordCount": 1148,
    "tableCount": 2,
    "diagramCount": 0,
    "internalLinks": 14,
    "externalLinks": 1,
    "footnoteCount": 0,
    "bulletRatio": 0.25,
    "sectionCount": 10,
    "hasOverview": true,
    "structuralScore": 10
  },
  "suggestedQuality": 67,
  "updateFrequency": 45,
  "evergreen": true,
  "wordCount": 1148,
  "unconvertedLinks": [],
  "unconvertedLinkCount": 0,
  "convertedLinkCount": 0,
  "backlinkCount": 4,
  "citationHealth": {
    "total": 40,
    "withQuotes": 34,
    "verified": 33,
    "accuracyChecked": 33,
    "accurate": 22,
    "inaccurate": 3,
    "avgScore": 0.9287719735327888
  },
  "hallucinationRisk": {
    "level": "high",
    "score": 80,
    "factors": [
      "biographical-claims",
      "no-citations",
      "few-external-sources"
    ]
  },
  "entityType": "person",
  "redundancy": {
    "maxSimilarity": 16,
    "similarPages": [
      {
        "id": "ai-futures-project",
        "title": "AI Futures Project",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/ai-futures-project/",
        "similarity": 16
      },
      {
        "id": "samotsvety",
        "title": "Samotsvety",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/samotsvety/",
        "similarity": 13
      },
      {
        "id": "futuresearch",
        "title": "FutureSearch",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/futuresearch/",
        "similarity": 12
      },
      {
        "id": "metaculus",
        "title": "Metaculus",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/metaculus/",
        "similarity": 12
      },
      {
        "id": "nuno-sempere",
        "title": "Nuño Sempere",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/people/nuno-sempere/",
        "similarity": 12
      }
    ]
  },
  "coverage": {
    "passing": 8,
    "total": 13,
    "targets": {
      "tables": 5,
      "diagrams": 0,
      "internalLinks": 9,
      "externalLinks": 6,
      "footnotes": 3,
      "references": 3
    },
    "actuals": {
      "tables": 2,
      "diagrams": 0,
      "internalLinks": 14,
      "externalLinks": 1,
      "footnotes": 0,
      "references": 3,
      "quotesWithQuotes": 34,
      "quotesTotal": 40,
      "accuracyChecked": 33,
      "accuracyTotal": 40
    },
    "items": {
      "llmSummary": "green",
      "schedule": "green",
      "entity": "green",
      "editHistory": "red",
      "overview": "green",
      "tables": "amber",
      "diagrams": "red",
      "internalLinks": "green",
      "externalLinks": "amber",
      "footnotes": "red",
      "references": "green",
      "quotes": "green",
      "accuracy": "green"
    },
    "ratingsString": "N:4 R:6 A:5 C:8"
  },
  "readerRank": 473,
  "researchRank": 339,
  "recommendedScore": 150.92
}
External Links

No external links

Backlinks (4)
idtitletyperelationship
ai-timelinesAI Timelinesconcept
ai-futures-projectAI Futures Projectorganization
ltffLong-Term Future Fund (LTFF)organization
samotsvetySamotsvetyorganization
Longterm Wiki