Capability Threshold Model

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  "summary": "Comprehensive framework mapping AI capabilities across 5 dimensions to specific risk thresholds, finding authentication collapse/mass persuasion risks at 70-85% likelihood by 2027, bioweapons development at 40% by 2029, with critical thresholds estimated when models achieve 50% on complex reasoning benchmarks and cross expert-level domain knowledge. Provides concrete capability requirements, timeline projections, and early warning indicators across 7 major risk categories with extensive benchmark tracking.",
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