Skip to content
Longterm Wiki has not been actively maintained since May 2026. Some data is still updated occasionally, but please don't rely on this site being current or accurate.
Longterm Wiki

Kalshi (Prediction Market)

kalshiorganizationPath: /knowledge-base/organizations/kalshi/
E537Entity ID (EID)
← Back to page4 backlinksQuality: 25Updated: 2026-02-26
Page Recorddatabase.json — merged from MDX frontmatter + Entity YAML + computed metrics at build time
{
  "id": "kalshi",
  "wikiId": "E537",
  "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/kalshi/",
  "filePath": "knowledge-base/organizations/kalshi.mdx",
  "title": "Kalshi (Prediction Market)",
  "quality": 25,
  "readerImportance": 36.5,
  "researchImportance": 54,
  "tacticalValue": null,
  "contentFormat": "article",
  "causalLevel": null,
  "lastUpdated": "2026-02-26",
  "dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
  "summary": "This is a corporate profile of Kalshi, a US prediction market platform regulated by the CFTC. The page covers its founding history, fee structure, regulatory disputes, partnerships, and AI-related markets. Kalshi hosts a small number of markets directly relevant to AI safety topics including research pauses and AI legislation, in addition to its primary focus on sports, politics, and economics.",
  "description": "First CFTC-regulated US prediction market exchange for trading event contracts on politics, economics, sports, and other real-world outcomes",
  "ratings": {
    "novelty": 2,
    "rigor": 4,
    "completeness": 3,
    "actionability": 1
  },
  "category": "organizations",
  "subcategory": "epistemic-orgs",
  "clusters": [
    "epistemics",
    "community"
  ],
  "metrics": {
    "wordCount": 3493,
    "tableCount": 2,
    "diagramCount": 0,
    "internalLinks": 7,
    "externalLinks": 3,
    "footnoteCount": 102,
    "bulletRatio": 0.26,
    "sectionCount": 31,
    "hasOverview": true,
    "structuralScore": 14
  },
  "suggestedQuality": 93,
  "updateFrequency": null,
  "evergreen": true,
  "wordCount": 3493,
  "unconvertedLinks": [
    {
      "text": "kalshi.com",
      "url": "https://kalshi.com",
      "resourceId": "8d054aa535ed84ad",
      "resourceTitle": "Kalshi - Prediction Market for Trading the Future"
    },
    {
      "text": "en.wikipedia.org",
      "url": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kalshi",
      "resourceId": "fdf2805c72fb1b8d",
      "resourceTitle": "Kalshi - Prediction Market Platform (Wikipedia)"
    },
    {
      "text": "wikidata.org",
      "url": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q114586938",
      "resourceId": "kb-84f9cd274ca2ada6",
      "resourceTitle": "Kalshi"
    }
  ],
  "unconvertedLinkCount": 3,
  "convertedLinkCount": 0,
  "backlinkCount": 4,
  "citationHealth": {
    "total": 87,
    "withQuotes": 83,
    "verified": 77,
    "accuracyChecked": 83,
    "accurate": 34,
    "inaccurate": 13,
    "avgScore": 0.9395140467526076
  },
  "hallucinationRisk": {
    "level": "medium",
    "score": 50,
    "factors": [
      "biographical-claims",
      "low-quality-score",
      "well-cited"
    ]
  },
  "entityType": "organization",
  "redundancy": {
    "maxSimilarity": 18,
    "similarPages": [
      {
        "id": "polymarket",
        "title": "Polymarket",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/polymarket/",
        "similarity": 18
      },
      {
        "id": "anthropic-ipo",
        "title": "Anthropic IPO",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/anthropic-ipo/",
        "similarity": 15
      },
      {
        "id": "bridgewater-aia-labs",
        "title": "Bridgewater AIA Labs",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/bridgewater-aia-labs/",
        "similarity": 15
      },
      {
        "id": "ftx-collapse-ea-funding-lessons",
        "title": "FTX Collapse: Lessons for EA Funding Resilience",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/ftx-collapse-ea-funding-lessons/",
        "similarity": 15
      },
      {
        "id": "openai-foundation",
        "title": "OpenAI Foundation",
        "path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/openai-foundation/",
        "similarity": 15
      }
    ]
  },
  "changeHistory": [
    {
      "date": "2026-02-26",
      "branch": "claude/claims-driven-improvements",
      "title": "Auto-improve (standard): Kalshi (Prediction Market)",
      "summary": "Improved \"Kalshi (Prediction Market)\" via standard pipeline (1096.4s). Quality score: 84. Issues resolved: Footnote [^97] attributes the Polymarket Venezuelan bet exam; Footnote [^106] cites 'Kalshi News: Harnessing the Power of ; The 'lastEdited' frontmatter date is '2026-02-26', which is .",
      "duration": "1096.4s",
      "cost": "$5-8"
    }
  ],
  "coverage": {
    "passing": 8,
    "total": 13,
    "targets": {
      "tables": 14,
      "diagrams": 1,
      "internalLinks": 28,
      "externalLinks": 17,
      "footnotes": 10,
      "references": 10
    },
    "actuals": {
      "tables": 2,
      "diagrams": 0,
      "internalLinks": 7,
      "externalLinks": 3,
      "footnotes": 102,
      "references": 33,
      "quotesWithQuotes": 83,
      "quotesTotal": 87,
      "accuracyChecked": 83,
      "accuracyTotal": 87
    },
    "items": {
      "summary": "green",
      "schedule": "red",
      "entity": "green",
      "editHistory": "green",
      "overview": "green",
      "tables": "amber",
      "diagrams": "red",
      "internalLinks": "amber",
      "externalLinks": "amber",
      "footnotes": "green",
      "references": "green",
      "quotes": "green",
      "accuracy": "green"
    },
    "editHistoryCount": 1,
    "ratingsString": "N:2 R:4 A:1 C:3"
  },
  "readerRank": 403,
  "researchRank": 258,
  "recommendedScore": 72.98
}
External Links

No external links

Backlinks (4)
idtitletyperelationship
manifoldManifold (Prediction Market)organization—
polymarketPolymarketorganization—
metaforecastMetaforecastproject—
prediction-marketsPrediction Markets (AI Forecasting)approach—