Manifold (Prediction Market)
StartupManifold is a play-money prediction market with millions of predictions and ~2,000 peak daily users, showing AGI by 2030 at ~60% vs Metaculus ~45%. Platform scored Brier 0.0342 on 2024 election (vs Polymarket's 0.0296), demonstrating play-money markets can approach real-money accuracy but with syste
Funding Received
$3M
4 grants
Grants Received
44 grants totaling $3M
| Grant | Funder | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Support of Manifold Marketssource | Survival and Flourishing Fund | $1.2 million | 2023-01 |
| Grant to "support Manifold Markets in building a play-money prediction market platform. The platform is also experimenting with impact certificates and charity prediction markets."source | FTX Future Fund | $1 million | 2022-03 |
| Grant to "support Manifold Markets in building a charity prediction market, as an experiment for enabling effective forecasters to direct altruistic donations."source | FTX Future Fund | $500,000 | 2022-05 |
| General support of Manifold Marketssource | Survival and Flourishing Fund | $343,000 | 2022-01 |
Related Organizations
2Jan 2023
FTX Future FundFunder
Mar 2022