ForecastBench
activeDynamic, contamination-free benchmark for evaluating LLM forecasting capabilities, published at ICLR 2025.
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A four-month structured forecasting tournament (June-October 2022) that brought together 169 participants—89 superforecasters and 80 domain experts...
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Philip Tetlock
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Organizations advancing forecasting methodology, prediction aggregation, and epistemic infrastructure to improve decision-making on AI safety and e...