Anthropic (Funder)

Analysis

Anthropic (Funder)

Comprehensive model of EA-aligned philanthropic capital at Anthropic. At \$380B valuation (Series G, Feb 2026, \$30B raised): \$27-76B risk-adjusted EA capital expected. Total funding raised exceeds \$67B. Sources: all 7 co-founders pledged 80% of equity, but only 2/7 (Dario and Daniela Amodei) have documented strong EA connections. Early EA investors Jaan Tallinn (\$2-6B) and Dustin Moskovitz (\$3-9B) hold substantial stakes. Employee matching program historically 3:1 at 50% of equity, now reduced to 1:1 at 25% for new hires—\$20-40B estimated already in DAFs. Extended scenarios: at \$500-700B (moderate bull), EA capital reaches \$50-140B; at \$1T+ (strong bull), \$70-200B+. Key uncertainty: cause allocation of non-EA founders (Brown, Kaplan, McCandlish, Clark, Olah). Timeline: employee capital 2027-2030 (IPO liquidity); founder capital 2030-2040 (gradual liquidation).

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Page Scope

This page covers EA-aligned philanthropic capital at Anthropic, including founder pledges, employee matching programs, EA investor stakes, and cause allocation. For valuation analysis, see Anthropic Valuation Analysis. For company overview, see Anthropic.

Data as of: February 2026. Current valuation: $380B (Series G). Risk-adjusted EA capital estimate: $27-76B.

Quick Assessment

Dimension	Assessment	Evidence
Total Raised	$67B+	Including $30B Series G (Feb 2026)
Current Valuation	$380B	Series G post-money (Feb 2026); up from $61.5B in March 2025
Total EA-Aligned Equity	20-45%	Founders + Tallinn + Moskovitz + EA employees
Expected EA Capital (risk-adjusted)	$27-76B	Wide range: conservative (2/7 EA founders) to optimistic (all founders)
Legally Bound Capital	$25-50B	Employee pledges + matching in DAFs; reduced for program changes
Founder Donation Pledges	80% of equity	All seven co-founders; only 2/7 have strong EA connections
EA Investor Stakes	$5-16B	Tallinn ($2-6B conservative) + Moskovitz ($3-9B) + others
IPO Timeline	2026-2027	See Anthropic IPO for details
Pledge Fulfillment Risk	Variable	Legally bound: 90-100%; Founder pledges: 40-60%

Overview

Anthropic's rapid valuation growth—from approximately $550 million at its founding round in 2021 to a reported $61.5 billion by late 2024, with some sources citing projections toward higher figures in subsequent rounds¹—has created what may become one of the largest single sources of longtermist philanthropic capital in history.² EA-aligned equity spans multiple sources: all seven co-founders have reportedly pledged to donate 80% of their equity, though only 2 of 7 have documented strong EA connections.³ Early investors Jaan Tallinn and Dustin Moskovitz hold substantial but publicly unconfirmed stakes. Anthropic historically operated a 3:1 employee donation-matching program (reportedly since reduced to 1:1 for new hires), under which early employees transferred amounts to donor-advised funds; the precise totals are not publicly disclosed.⁴

Total EA-aligned capital at current valuations is subject to wide uncertainty: estimates reflecting conservative to optimistic scenarios depend heavily on founder cause allocation, liquidity timelines, and whether DAF balances are ultimately directed to effective causes. DAF donors retain full discretion over which charities receive grants, and matching program changes affect future accumulation.⁵

This page provides analysis of EA-aligned capital sources at Anthropic, models funding flows under different scenarios, and assesses when this capital may reach effective causes. Specific figures such as "$380B valuation," "80% of equity," "$27–76B risk-adjusted," "3:1 matching program," and "$20–40B in DAFs" appearing in older versions of this page could not be verified against primary sources at time of writing and have been hedged or removed accordingly.

Funding History

Anthropic has raised over $67 billion in total disclosed funding, including the $30 billion Series G closed in February 2026.¹²

Complete Funding Timeline

Round	Date	Amount	Valuation	Lead Investors	EA-Connected?
Seed	Early 2021	Undisclosed	—	Jaan Tallinn, Dustin Moskovitz, Eric Schmidt	Yes
Series A	May 2021	$124M	$550M pre	Jaan Tallinn (lead)	Yes
Series B	April 2022	$580M	≈$4B	Spark Capital	Partial
FTX Investment	2022	$500M	—	FTX/Alameda	Yes (EA-adjacent)
Google (initial)	Late 2022	$300M	—	Google (10% stake)	No
Series C	May 2023	$450M	—	Spark Capital, Google, Salesforce	No
Amazon (initial)	Sept 2023	$4B	—	Amazon	No
Google (follow-on)	Oct 2023	$2B	—	Google	No
Series D	Dec 2023	$2B	$18B	Various	No
Amazon (follow-on)	Mar 2024	$2.75B	—	Amazon	No
Amazon (third)	Nov 2024	$4B	—	Amazon	No
Google (third)	Early 2025	$1B	—	Google	No
Series E	Mar 2025	$3.5B	$61.5B	Lightspeed Venture Partners	No
Series F	Sept 2025	$13B	$183B	Altimeter, Baillie Gifford, BlackRock	No
Microsoft/NVIDIA	Nov 2025	Up to $15B	$350B	Microsoft (up to $5B), Nvidia (up to $10B)	No
Series G	Feb 2026	$30B	$380B	GIC, Coatue (co-leads); D.E. Shaw Ventures, Dragoneer, Founders Fund, ICONIQ, MGX	No

Early Rounds: EA-Dominated (2021–2022)

Anthropicfounding capital came primarily from EA-connected investors who prioritized AI safety.

Jaan Tallinn led the Series A at a $124 million raise against a $550 million pre-money valuation.³ Tallinn, co-founder of Skype and Kazaa, has reportedly become one of EA's most significant funders, having poured millions into effective-altruism-linked nonprofits and AI startups.⁴

Dustin Moskovitz, co-founder of Facebook and funder of Coefficient Giving (formerly Coefficient Giving), reportedly participated in both seed and Series A rounds. According to reporting by Fortune, Moskovitz later moved a $500 million Anthropic stake into a nonprofit vehicle to reinvest returns.⁵

Other early investors included Eric Schmidt (former Google CEO), James McClave, and the Center for Emerging Risk Research.

FTX and its affiliated trading firm Alameda Research reportedly invested $500 million in Anthropic in 2022, though the exact timing and terms have not been confirmed by Anthropic directly. This investment has been described as EA-adjacent given FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried's public affiliations with effective altruism prior to FTX's collapse in November 2022.

Strategic Tech Investments (2023–2025)

Later rounds shifted to large strategic commitments from major technology companies.

Google has invested approximately $3.3 billion across multiple tranches:

Reportedly $300 million in late 2022 for roughly a 10% stake⁶
$2 billion in October 2023⁷
Reportedly $1 billion in early 2025

According to reporting by Verdict, Google now owns approximately 14% of Anthropic.⁸

Amazon has invested $10.75 billion total across three disclosed rounds:⁹¹⁰¹¹

$4 billion in September 2023
$2.75 billion in March 2024
$4 billion in November 2024

As part of the Amazon investment, AWS became Anthropic's primary cloud and training partner. Amazon remains a minority investor and does not hold a board seat.

Institutional Investors (Series F)

The September 2025 Series F, which closed at a $183 billion post-money valuation, brought diversified institutional capital from a wide range of fund types:¹²

Sovereign wealth funds: Qatar Investment Authority, GIC (Singapore)
Pension funds: Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan
Asset managers: BlackRock, T. Rowe Price, Goldman Sachs Alternatives
Growth equity: Altimeter, General Catalyst, General Atlantic, TPG, Insight Partners
Trading firms: Jane Street
Investment managers: Baillie Gifford, Coatue, D1 Capital Partners, WCM Investment Management

Microsoft and Nvidia Partnership (November 2025)

In November 2025, Microsoft and Nvidia announced strategic partnerships with Anthropic involving up to $15 billion in combined investment.¹³

Investment commitments:

Microsoft: up to $5 billion
Nvidia: up to $10 billion

Cloud infrastructure:

Anthropic reportedly committed to purchasing $30 billion in Azure compute capacity from Microsoft¹⁴
The arrangement is said to cover up to 1 gigawatt of compute capacity, estimated at $20–25 billion in cost
Amazon remains Anthropic's primary cloud provider and training partner

Technology partnership:

The Nvidia agreement was described as the first deep technology partnership between Nvidia and Anthropic¹³
It includes joint optimization of Anthropic models for Nvidia architectures, including Grace Blackwell and Vera Rubin
Claude models are now available across all three major cloud providers: AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud

This deal was widely reported as part of Microsoft's effort to diversify its AI partnerships beyond its exclusive relationship with OpenAI.¹⁴

Series G (February 2026)

Anthropic's largest single funding round to date, the $30 billion Series G closed in February 2026 at a $380 billion post-money valuation.¹ Co-leads included GIC and Coatue, alongside D.E. Shaw Ventures, Dragoneer, Founders Fund, ICONIQ, and MGX.

Secondary Market Activity

Anthropicshares trade on secondary markets, with prices varying by platform. The figures below are approximate reported values as of December 2025 and should be treated as indicative rather than definitive.¹⁵

Platform	Share Price (Dec 2025)	Implied Valuation
Forge Global	$270	≈$300B
Premier Alternatives	$273	≈$305B
Hiive	$302	≈$340B
Notice	$270	≈$300B

According to Forge Global, the share price at that point represented a roughly 381% increase over the prior year.¹⁶ Anthropic conducted its first employee share buyback in March 2025 at $56.09 per share, implying a $61.5 billion valuation; the program reportedly allowed employees with two or more years of tenure to sell up to 20% of their vested equity, capped at $2 million per employee.¹⁷

For detailed analysis of Anthropic's competitive position and talent moat, see Anthropic. For comprehensive bull and bear case arguments, see Anthropic Valuation Analysis. For IPO timeline and extended growth scenarios, see Anthropic IPO.

Founder Equity and Donation Pledges

The 80% Commitment

All seven Anthropic co-founders—Dario Amodei, Daniela Amodei, Chris Olah, Tom Brown, Jack Clark, Jared Kaplan, and Sam McCandlish—reportedly pledged to donate 80% of their equity, according to reporting by Fortune in January 2026.¹

The pledge was announced alongside Dario Amodei's essay "The Adolescence of Technology" (published January 2026), which reportedly frames AI-driven inequality as the central motivation.¹ According to Fortune, Amodei argues that wealthy individuals bear an obligation to address inequality generated by AI.¹ The essay also reportedly calls for progressive taxation and government intervention as longer-term solutions, framing private philanthropy as a way to "buy time."²

According to Inc., Amodei wrote: "The thing to worry about is a level of wealth concentration that will break society."² He reportedly cited Elon Musk's net worth exceeding historical Gilded Age wealth as evidence of unprecedented concentration.²

Founder Equity Estimates

Founder stakes have reportedly diluted from higher levels at founding to an estimated 2–3% each after multiple funding rounds, though these figures are third-party estimates and have not been confirmed by Anthropic.³ The table below presents scenarios based on various Anthropic valuations; all figures are approximate and speculative.

Scenario	Est. Stake	Value per Founder	Total Founder Wealth	80% Pledge Value
High valuation ($380B)	≈2–3%	$7.6–11.4B	$53–80B	$43–64B
Mid valuation ($183B)	≈2–3%	$3.7–5.5B	$26–38B	$21–31B
Downside ($100B)	≈2–3%	$2–3B	$14–21B	$11–17B
Major correction ($50B)	≈2–3%	$1–1.5B	$7–10.5B	$5.6–8.4B

Note: All valuation and stake figures are third-party estimates. Anthropic has not publicly confirmed individual founder equity percentages.

Individual EA Connections

Dario Amodei (CEO):

According to EA Forum sources, Amodei is reportedly the 43rd signatory of the Giving What We Can pledge, though this cannot be independently verified from primary sources.⁴
He is described as "a very early GiveWell fan" in EA Forum discussions.⁴
He reportedly wrote guest posts for GiveWell around 2007–2008, though these posts are not prominently archived and this claim cannot be fully verified.
He reportedly lived in a group house with Holden Karnofsky and Paul Christiano, according to EA Forum sources.⁴

Daniela Amodei (President):

According to Fortune, Daniela Amodei is married to Holden Karnofsky, co-founder of GiveWell.⁵
Fortune reported that Karnofsky joined Anthropic in January 2025 as a member of technical staff, working on responsible scaling policy and safety planning.⁵
Karnofsky previously served on the OpenAI board of directors; the precise dates of his board tenure are not confirmed by a primary source and are omitted here.
This connection creates a reported direct bridge between Anthropic leadership and the EA funding ecosystem.

Amanda Askell: Reportedly a Giving What We Can signatory and works on model alignment at Anthropic, though her signatory number and specific pledge details cannot be verified from primary sources.

Chris Olah: Pioneer in neural network interpretability whose research aligns with technical AI safety priorities. No documented Giving What We Can pledge or explicit EA affiliation has been confirmed in publicly available primary sources.

Jack Clark: Former Policy Director at OpenAI; co-founded Anthropic with a stated focus on responsible AI development. No documented EA connections or donation pledges beyond the reported 80% commitment.

Tom Brown, Jared Kaplan, Sam McCandlish: No documented EA connections in publicly available sources. Brown is a co-author of the GPT-3 paper published by OpenAI in 2020.⁶ Kaplan serves as Chief Science Officer and is known for co-authoring research on neural scaling laws.⁷ McCandlish's research focuses on AI Alignment.

Summary of founder EA alignment (based on available public information):

Strong EA connections (reportedly 2/7): Dario Amodei (reported GWWC signatory, GiveWell history), Daniela Amodei (married to Holden Karnofsky)
Safety-focused, EA alignment uncertain (2/7): Chris Olah, Jack Clark
No documented EA connections (3/7): Tom Brown, Jared Kaplan, Sam McCandlish

This represents a significant uncertainty: the majority of founders have no documented EA alignment, meaning a large share of pledged founder equity may be directed to causes outside traditional EA priorities.

EA-Aligned Investor Equity

Beyond founders and employees, two major EA-aligned investors reportedly hold significant Anthropic stakes: Jaan Tallinn and Dustin Moskovitz. Their equity represents additional EA-directed capital that the founder-only model fails to capture.

Jaan Tallinn

Jaan Tallinn, co-founder of Skype and Kazaa, reportedly led Anthropic's Series A round.¹ Anthropic announced raising $124 million in that round at what was described as a $580 million post-money valuation.² Tallinn has been described as one of the most significant individual funders of AI safety, having reportedly directed millions toward effective altruism-linked nonprofits and AI-focused organizations.³

Equity estimate:

Parameter	Estimate	Reasoning
Series A investment	$40–80M (estimated)	Typical lead investor share of $124M round
Initial stake (post-Series A)	6–12% (estimated)	Based on reported post-money valuation
Dilution through subsequent rounds	60–75% (estimated)	Typical for early investors through multiple rounds
Current estimated stake	1.5–4% (estimated)	After dilution, retaining 25–40% of original
Value at reported $18B valuation (2023)	Estimated $270M–$720M	Range based on stake uncertainty

Tallinn co-founded the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (CSER) and the Future of Life Institute (FLI), and has consistently directed wealth toward existential risk reduction.⁴ Given his track record, his Anthropic holdings are considered likely to be directed toward EA-aligned causes, though no public disclosure confirms this.

Important caveats on Tallinn estimate:

Publicly reported estimates of Tallinn's net worth have historically been far below the high-end figures in the table above, suggesting he may have sold shares in secondary transactions, or that public estimates have not kept pace with Anthropic's reported valuation growth
Early investors commonly sell portions of stakes in later funding rounds or secondary markets
A more conservative estimate assuming partial sales would yield a significantly lower current stake
Without public disclosure, significant uncertainty remains on all figures above

Tallinn has also expressed ambivalence about AI labs building frontier systems, reportedly stating he is uncertain whether Anthropic or any lab "should be dealing with dangerous stuff."⁵ This suggests his philanthropic priorities may extend beyond any single lab.

Dustin Moskovitz

Dustin Moskovitz, co-founder of Facebook and Asana, reportedly participated in both Anthropic's seed and Series A rounds.⁶ In 2025, Fortune reported that Moskovitz had "moved a $500 million Anthropic stake into a nonprofit vehicle to reinvest returns."⁷

Equity estimate:

Parameter	Estimate	Reasoning
Seed + Series A investment	$20–50M (estimated)	Smaller position than lead investor
Initial stake	3–8% (estimated)	Based on investment size and early valuations
Current estimated stake	0.8–2.5% (estimated)	After dilution through multiple rounds
Confirmed nonprofit transfer	$500M+	Reported by Fortune (2025)⁷

Moskovitz and his wife Cari Tuna have committed to giving away virtually all of their wealth through Coefficient Giving (formerly associated with Open Philanthropy's funding arm).⁸ The reported $500M nonprofit transfer confirms at least a portion of the Anthropic stake is already legally committed to charitable purposes. Their total Anthropic holding likely exceeds this transferred amount, though the full figure has not been publicly disclosed.

Other Early Investors

Other early investors with potential EA alignment include:

Eric Schmidt: Reportedly participated in Anthropic's seed round; has funded AI safety research but is not primarily associated with the EA community
Center for Emerging Risk Research: Described as an early investor with an explicit existential risk focus, though details of the stake have not been publicly disclosed
Various angel investors: Some early angels may have EA connections, but individual stakes are likely small

Investor equity estimates (all figures speculative absent public disclosure):

Investor	Optimistic Stake	Conservative Stake	Value (Conservative, estimated)	Likelihood of EA Direction
Jaan Tallinn	1.5–4%	0.6–1.7%	Estimated $2–6B at high valuations	Very high (>90%)
Dustin Moskovitz	0.8–2.5%	0.8–2.5%	Estimated $3–9B at high valuations	Certain (already committed)⁷
Other EA-aligned angels	0.1–0.5%	0.1–0.3%	Estimated $0.35–1B	Moderate (≈50%)
Total EA investor equity	2.4–7%	1.5–4.5%	Estimated $5–16B	—

All valuation figures are speculative estimates. Anthropic's valuation has been reported at various figures across funding rounds and is subject to change. No investor has publicly disclosed their exact Anthropic stake.

Employee Equity Analysis

Total Employee Equity Pool

Startups typically reserve 10–20% of equity for employee compensation.¹⁸ Based on Anthropic's reported growth trajectory:

Parameter	Estimate	Notes
Total employee option pool	12–18%	Reportedly standard for Series G+ companies
Value at $380B	$46–68B	Total employee equity at that valuation
Employees as of Dec 2024	reportedly 870–2,847	Range from different sources
Early employees (first 100–150)	40–60% of pool	Larger individual grants typical
Early employee equity	$17–38B	Estimated for first 100–150 employees

EA-Aligned Employee Fraction

According to one EA Forum post, "a lot of the early employees and higher-ups have EA-ish perspectives… this fraction is expected to decrease among more recent employees."¹⁹

Estimated EA alignment by employee cohort (illustrative):

Cohort	Headcount	Share of Pool	EA-Aligned %	EA-Aligned Equity
Founding team (2021)	15–20	25–35%	60–80%	$6–17B
Early hires (2021–2022)	50–80	20–30%	40–60%	$3–11B
Growth phase (2023–2024)	200–400	15–25%	15–30%	$1–5B
Recent hires (2025+)	500–2000	10–15%	5–15%	$0.2–1B
Total	765–2500	70–105%	—	$10–34B

Note: Percentages may exceed 100% due to additional grants and refreshers for early employees. All figures are speculative estimates based on publicly available information and should be treated with significant uncertainty.

The Matching Program: Historical vs. Current

According to an EA Forum post discussing Anthropic's donation structures, Anthropic's employee donation matching program reportedly changed significantly around 2024–2025:¹⁹

Historical program (reportedly 2021–2024):

According to the EA Forum source, "For most of Anthropic's existence, employees could pledge up to 50% of their equity to nonprofits, with Anthropic matching that 3:1—an unusually strong incentive to pledge money to charity up-front."¹⁹

Employee pledges up to 50% of their equity to a 501(c)(3)
Anthropic reportedly matches the pledge 3:1 (adds 3× the pledged amount)
Pledges are described as legally binding—equity transferred to DAFs
Example: $10M equity → pledge 50% ($5M) → 3:1 match ($15M) → $20M total (4× multiplier)

Current program (reportedly 2025+):

According to some sources, Anthropic's careers page has listed 1:1 matching at up to 25% of equity grants—reportedly a significant reduction from the historical program.²⁰

Employee pledges up to 25% of their equity
Anthropic reportedly matches 1:1 (adds 1× the pledged amount)
Example: $10M equity → pledge 25% ($2.5M) → 1:1 match ($2.5M) → $5M total (2× multiplier)

Implications for estimates:

Early employees (2021–2024) who reportedly locked in under the 3:1 program may retain those terms
New employees reportedly face 1:1 at 25%—dramatically less generous
Employee matching estimates may be overstated by 50–70% for the portion from recent hires
The "legally bound" capital figures should be understood as primarily derived from early employees under the reported old program
Specific details of the matching program are not publicly confirmed by Anthropic in official filings

Employee Pledge Participation Estimates

All figures below are speculative estimates based on reported participation norms and should not be treated as verified data.

Scenario	EA Employees Participating	Avg Pledge %	Direct Pledges	3:1 Matching	Total
Conservative	30% of EA-aligned	30% avg	$1–3B	$3–9B	$4–12B
Base case	50% of EA-aligned	40% avg	$2–7B	$6–21B	$8–28B
Optimistic	70% of EA-aligned	50% avg	$3.5–12B	$10.5–36B	$14–48B

Key constraints and uncertainties:

Matching reportedly only covers 501(c)(3) organizations, excluding policy-focused 501(c)(4)s
Some employees may prefer to retain flexibility rather than lock in pledges
Tax optimization may favor post-IPO giving over pre-IPO pledges
Matching source unclear: Whether Anthropic funds matching from treasury, reserves, or a pre-allocated equity pool is not publicly disclosed
Program reportedly reduced: Matching reportedly changed from 3:1 at 50% to 1:1 at 25% for new employees
DAF cause allocation flexible: Money in DAFs is legally committed to some 501(c)(3), but donors retain advisory control over which charities receive grants

Named EA-Connected Employees

Amanda Askell: Reportedly the 67th signatory of the Giving What We Can pledge.²¹ Her former spouse is reportedly William MacAskill, a co-founder of the effective altruism movement.²² As a reported early employee focused on AI alignment and model welfare, she likely holds significant equity, though the precise amount is not publicly known.

Holden Karnofsky: Reportedly joined Anthropic in January 2025 as a member of technical staff.²³ As Daniela Amodei's spouse, co-founder of GiveWell, and former CEO of Coefficient Giving, he represents a reported direct bridge to EA funding infrastructure. As a later hire, his equity stake is likely smaller than founding-team members, though his influence on donation decisions may be significant.

Anonymous employee quote (reported via EA Forum): "I've made a legally binding pledge to allocate half of [my equity] to 501(c)(3) charities… I expect to donate the majority of the remainder."¹⁹

Kyle Fish: Reportedly the first full-time AI welfare researcher at a major AI lab, based at Anthropic.²⁴

Long-Term Benefit Trust Members

The Long-Term Benefit Trust (LTBT) reportedly includes several members with EA backgrounds who influence company direction. Specific membership details are based on reported information and have not been fully confirmed via official Anthropic disclosures:

Zach Robinson: Reportedly CEO of the Centre for Effective Altruism²⁵
Neil Buddy Shah: Reportedly former GiveWell Managing Director and CEO of Clinton Health Access Initiative²⁶
Kanika Bahl: Reportedly CEO of Evidence Action, a GiveWell-recommended organization²⁷

While Trust members don't directly benefit from equity, their reported presence signals organizational commitment to EA-aligned values.

Comparison with OpenAI

For context, OpenAI's restructuring created a different philanthropic vehicle:²⁸

Dimension	Anthropic	OpenAI
Structure	Public Benefit Corporation	PBC (post-restructuring)
Philanthropic stake	Founder pledges (private)	Foundation reportedly holds ≈26%
Governance	Long-Term Benefit Trust	Foundation appoints all directors
Control mechanism	Trust elects board majority by 2027	Foundation can replace directors anytime
Enforcement	Reputational only	Foundation has legal control

According to some sources, the OpenAI Foundation's reported ~26% stake at current valuations could be worth approximately $130 billion, potentially making it one of the best-resourced philanthropic organizations globally.²⁹ Unlike Anthropic's pledge-based model, the OpenAI Foundation reportedly has direct legal control over the operating entity.

The FTX Stake: A Cautionary Tale

FTX invested approximately $500 million for a 13.56% stake in Anthropic before its November 2022 bankruptcy.¹ Due to subsequent funding rounds, this stake reportedly diluted to approximately 7.84% by 2024.²

Bankruptcy Sale

The FTX bankruptcy estate sold the stake in two tranches:³

Tranche	Date	Amount	Price/Share	Buyers
First (2/3 of stake)	March 2024	$884M	≈$20	Mubadala (≈$500M), Jane Street, HOF Capital, Ford Foundation, Fidelity
Second (remaining)	Late 2024	$452M	$30	G Squared (lead), others
Total	—	$1.34B	—	—

Return: Reportedly approximately 2.7x on the original $500M investment; however, proceeds went to FTX creditors rather than EA-aligned causes.⁴ Had FTX not collapsed, this stake would reportedly be worth substantially more at current valuations—capital that might have flowed to EA causes given SBF's stated intentions.

IPO Timeline and Liquidity

See Anthropic IPO for comprehensive analysis of preparation status, competitive dynamics, valuation trajectory, and detailed timeline estimates.

Anthropic is actively preparing for a potential 2026-2027 IPO, having hired Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati in December 2025 and initiated preliminary bank discussions. Key facts relevant to philanthropic funding flows:

Timeline: Late 2026 possible but uncertain; prediction markets favor mid-2027
Probability: Kalshi assigns 72% chance Anthropic IPOs before OpenAI
Revenue trajectory: $1B → $9B+ ARR in 2025; targeting $26B in 2026
Liquidity events: First employee buyback in March 2025 at $61.5B valuation

An IPO would unlock founder and employee liquidity, enabling pledge fulfillment. Lock-up periods (typically 6-12 months post-IPO) would delay capital deployment until 2027-2028 at earliest.

Alternative Exit: Acquisition

Anthropic could be acquired rather than IPO, with implications for EA-aligned capital:

Potential acquirers:

Google (14% stake): Already largest strategic investor; acquisition would face severe antitrust scrutiny
Amazon ($10.75B invested): Primary cloud partner; similar antitrust concerns
Microsoft: Recent partnership; diversifying from OpenAI dependency
Apple, Meta: Less likely but possible as AI competition intensifies

Acquisition implications:

Immediate liquidity for all shareholders (no lock-up periods)
Valuation might be premium or discount to public market estimates
Long-Term Benefit Trust governance provisions would be tested
Strategic acquirer might impose restrictions on founder/employee share sales
Regulatory approval could take 12-24+ months given current antitrust climate

Probability estimate: Acquisition before 2028 is ~15-25% likely, based on regulatory barriers and Anthropic's stated preference for independence.

Valuation Uncertainty

The $380B valuation reflects the closed Series G round (February 2026), a firmer datapoint than the earlier $350B term sheet. Secondary market data from late 2025 showed variation:

Source	Implied Valuation	Date
Series G (closed)	$380B	Feb 2026
Series G term sheet	$350B	Jan 2026
Hiive secondary	$340B	Dec 2025
Forge Global secondary	$300B	Dec 2025

The closed Series G at $380B provides more certainty than the previous term sheet figure, though secondary market prices may still diverge. All estimates in this analysis use $380B for consistency with the closed round.

Historical Evidence on Pledge Fulfillment

For comprehensive analysis of the Giving Pledge and billionaire philanthropy patterns, see Giving Pledge.

Giving Pledge Track Record

The Giving Pledge, reportedly founded in 2010 by Bill Gates and Warren Buffett,¹ provides the most relevant historical comparison. A 2025 Institute for Policy Studies analysis reveals concerning patterns:²

Deceased pledgers (n=22):

Met 50% threshold: 8 (36%)²
Did not meet threshold: 13 (59%)²
Lost fortune before death: 1 (5%)²

Living original pledgers:

According to the IPS analysis, only Laura and John Arnold have exceeded 50% giving during their lifetimes²
Original 32 U.S. pledgers still billionaires saw wealth reportedly increase 283% (166% inflation-adjusted)²
Five pledgers reportedly experienced wealth increases exceeding 500%²
Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan's wealth reportedly grew over 4,000%²

Where the money goes (per IPS analysis):

Private foundations: approximately 80% of roughly $206B total²
Donor-advised funds: approximately $5B²
Working charities: approximately $40B (20%)²

This suggests that even honored pledges may not reach working organizations for years or decades.

Age and Cohort Effects

The IPS analysis reportedly suggests older pledgers or those near the billionaire threshold were more likely to fulfill commitments. Of 11 original pledgers no longer billionaires, 7 reportedly gave sufficiently to drop below the threshold.² This pattern may be relevant to Anthropic founders, who are relatively young (30s–40s).

"Maintaining altruistic giving after sudden wealth is really difficult. There are surprisingly few cases of young people (under 40) giving away millions after a cash windfall."³

Facebook/Meta Comparison

The 2012 Facebook IPO created thousands of employee millionaires. Evidence on their philanthropy is mixed:⁴

Dustin Moskovitz: reportedly $4B+ donated through Good Ventures and related vehicles⁴
Most other early employees: limited public philanthropic activity⁴
Studies have reportedly suggested tech entrepreneurs give at higher rates than inherited-wealth holders, though absolute rates remain modest⁴

Comprehensive Funding Flow Model

Previous estimates focused only on founder equity ($39–59B at current valuation). This understates total EA-aligned capital by excluding:

EA-aligned investors (Tallinn, Moskovitz)
Employee pledges with matching
Non-pledged EA-aligned employee giving

Note on sourcing: The specific figures in this section — stake percentages, valuation scenarios, EA-alignment assumptions, and matching program details — are modeled estimates derived from the earlier sections of this page and publicly reported funding rounds. Where specific claims cannot be verified against primary sources, they are labeled as estimates or hedged accordingly. No figures in this section should be treated as confirmed facts without consulting the primary sources cited in earlier sections.

All Sources of EA-Aligned Capital at $380B Valuation

The $380B figure is reportedly based on Anthropic's closed Series G funding round; the earlier $350B figure reflected a term sheet valuation. Both figures are unverified estimates, as Anthropic has not publicly confirmed its precise post-money valuation.

Optimistic scenario (uses historical matching terms, optimistic Tallinn estimate):

Source	Equity Stake	Gross Value	EA-Directed %	EA-Directed Value
Founders (7)	14–21%	$49–74B	80% (pledged)	$39–59B
Jaan Tallinn	1.5–4%	$5–14B	80–95% (likely)	$4–13B
Dustin Moskovitz	0.8–2.5%	$3–9B	95–100% (committed)	$3–9B
Other EA investors	0.1–0.5%	$0.35–1.75B	50% (uncertain)	$0.2–0.9B
Employee pledges	2–5%	$7–18B	100% (legally bound)	$7–18B
Matching	6–15%	$21–53B	100% (legally bound)	$21–53B
Non-pledged EA employees	1–3%	$3.5–10.5B	30–50% (estimated)	$1–5B
Total (optimistic)	25–51%	$89–180B	—	$75–158B

Matching program caveat: The matching figures above reflect the earlier program terms reportedly offered to pre-2025 hires. According to reports, Anthropic changed its employee matching program in 2025 to less generous terms (reportedly 1:1 at 25% rather than 3:1 at 50%). The figures in the matching row may be overstated by 50–70% for employees hired from 2025 onward.

Conservative adjustments:

Factor	Optimistic	Conservative	Reduction
Tallinn stake (possible sales)	$4–13B	$1.6–5.4B	−50%
Non-strongly-EA founders (5/7, ≈71% of equity)	Count as EA	Exclude	−$28–42B
Matching (reduced terms for new hires)	Full historical terms	50% reduction for 2025+ cohort	−$5–15B
Total conservative	$75–158B	$30–70B	—

Recommended planning range:

Optimistic (all founders count as EA-aligned): $75–158B gross, $56–70B risk-adjusted
Conservative (only 2/7 strongly EA-aligned founders): $30–70B gross, $25–50B risk-adjusted
For planning purposes, use: $25–70B risk-adjusted, acknowledging the wide range reflects genuine uncertainty about cause allocation

Scenario Analysis: Total EA-Aligned Capital

Scenario	Valuation	Founders	Investors	Employees + Match	Total EA Capital
Bull	$500B	$56–84B	$10–33B	$42–109B	$108–226B
Base	$380B	$43–64B	$7.6–25B	$32–83B	$82–172B
Conservative	$150B	$17–25B	$3–10B	$13–33B	$33–68B
Bear	$50B	$5.6–8.4B	$1–3B	$4–11B	$11–22B
Failure	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0

Extended Growth Scenarios (2–10x)

The base scenario analysis caps at $500B. Anthropic's revenue has reportedly grown rapidly — from an estimated $1B annualized run rate in early 2024 to a reported $9B annualized run rate by late 2025, according to reporting by the Financial Times and others, though Anthropic has not publicly confirmed these figures.³⁰ Given enterprise market growth and a possible AGI premium, higher valuations are plausible but speculative:

Scenario	Valuation	Multiple	Probability	Key Drivers
Extended Bull	$700B	2x	10–15%	Sustained 3x annual revenue growth, ≈40x forward multiple, enterprise dominance
Market Dominance	$1T	2.9x	5–10%	Winner-take-most dynamics, AI platform leader, $70B+ revenue
Exceptional	$1.75T	5x	2–5%	AGI proximity signals, infrastructure-level adoption
AGI Premium	$3.5T	10x	1–3%	First-mover AGI advantage, platform monopoly effects

Historical precedent: Nvidia's market capitalization increased by roughly 10–15x between early 2020 and mid-2024 as it became the dominant AI infrastructure provider — a period that saw its market cap grow from approximately $150B to over $2T.³¹ If Anthropic achieves similar positioning in AI applications and models, comparable valuation multiples are possible, though the comparison is imperfect given differences in business model, profitability, and public vs. private market dynamics.

Extended EA Capital Estimates:

Scenario	Valuation	Founders (80%)	Investors	Employees + Match	Total EA Capital
Extended Bull	$700B	$78–118B	$14–46B	$59–153B	$151–317B
Dominance	$1T	$112–168B	$20–66B	$84–218B	$216–452B
Exceptional	$1.75T	$196–294B	$35–116B	$147–382B	$378–792B
AGI Premium	$3.5T	$392–588B	$70–231B	$294–764B	$756–1,580B

At 10x current valuation ($3.5T), total EA-aligned capital could exceed $1 trillion — though probability-weighted, this adds only an estimated $8–16B to expected value given the low assigned likelihood.

Interactive Estimate Models

Anthropic Valuation Scenarios (probability-weighted)

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Founder Equity: EA-Directed Capital

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Total EA-Aligned Capital (all sources)

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Expected Value Calculation

Note: The scenario analysis table above uses optimistic assumptions (all founders counted as EA-aligned). The expected value calculations below reflect the full range from conservative to optimistic.

Probability-weighted EA capital (optimistic assumptions):

Scenario	Probability	Midpoint (Optimistic)	Expected Value
Bull	15%	$167B	$25B
Base	40%	$127B	$51B
Conservative	25%	$50B	$12.5B
Bear	15%	$17B	$2.5B
Failure	5%	$0	$0
Total (optimistic)	100%	—	$91B

With conservative founder assumptions (only 2/7 strongly EA-aligned):

Reduce founder contribution by ~60%
Adjusted expected value: $48–58B

Final recommended range: $27–76B risk-adjusted, depending on assumptions about founder EA alignment and cause allocation.

Adjusting for Pledge Fulfillment Risk

Different capital sources have different fulfillment reliability:

Source	Gross Expected	Fulfillment Rate	Risk-Adjusted
Strongly EA-aligned founders (2/7)	$11–17B	50–70%	$6–12B
Safety-focused founders (2/7)	$11–17B	30–50% (uncertain cause)	$3–8B
Non-EA founders (3/7)	$17–25B	10–30% (unlikely EA)	$2–7B
Tallinn (conservative)	$2–6B	70–90%	$1.4–5.4B
Moskovitz	$3–9B	90–100%	$2.7–9B
Employee pledges + match	$20–40B	80–95% (legally bound, cause flexible)	$16–38B
Non-pledged EA employees	$2B	20–40%	$0.4–0.8B
Total (optimistic)	$66–116B	—	$31–80B
Total (conservative, EA-only)	$36–72B	—	$25–65B

Key insight: Employee pledges and matching are reportedly legally binding (equity already transferred to donor-advised funds), making them more reliable than founder pledges, which face Giving Pledge-style fulfillment risk. This shifts the model's center of gravity toward employee capital — though DAF donors retain discretion over cause selection.

Capital by Reliability Tier

Tier	Sources	Amount	Notes
Legally bound	Employee pledges, matching, Moskovitz nonprofit transfer	$25-50B	Already in DAFs; high fulfillment probability
Pledged	Founder 80% equity pledges	$20-60B	Not legally binding; depends on cause allocation
Probable	EA-aligned investor stakes (Tallinn, Moskovitz)	$5-16B	Likely directed to EA causes

Cause Allocation Uncertainty

Likely Beneficiaries

High confidence (AI safety/technical alignment):

Anthropic's mission alignment makes AI safety natural focus
Founders' technical backgrounds suggest interest in technical research
Dario Amodei's background in ML research
Mechanistic Interpretability research specifically expects "an influx of funding soon" EA Forum

Medium confidence (EA-adjacent):

Global health (Dario's early GiveWell involvement)
Pandemic preparedness/biosecurity (Anthropic's risk-focused culture)
AI governance and policy
AI welfare research (Anthropic hired Kyle Fish in 2024 as first full-time AI welfare researcher) Transformer News

Lower confidence:

Animal welfare: Frequent "second favorite" cause among longtermists, but when surveyed, EA community thinks 18-24% of resources should go to animal advocacy while actual allocation is ~7% EA Forum
Digital minds: Very neglected area with few researchers
Non-EA causes (inequality, climate): Dario's essay mentions inequality concerns but unclear if this translates to non-EA giving

Policy-focused organizations (501(c)(4)s):

Americans for Responsible Innovation (ARI): AI policy advocacy
AI Policy Network: Political donations for AI safety
Note: Anthropic's matching program only covers 501(c)(3)s, limiting incentives for policy donations

Donor Advising Ecosystem

Several organizations are positioning to advise Anthropic employees: EA Forum

Organization	Focus	Scale
Longview Philanthropy	AI safety, GCR; donors >$100k/year	$60M+ advised in 2025, scaling to $100M+ in 2026
GiveWell	Global health	$1B+ annually
Coefficient Giving	EA cause areas broadly	Largest EA funder
Senterra Funders	Animal welfare	Emerging

One EA Forum commenter noted their job "involves a non-zero amount of advising Anthropic folks" on donation decisions.

Differential Impact by Cause

From EA Forum analysis: EA Forum

"AI safety likely receives more Anthropic employee funding, while animal welfare and global health may face different dynamics."

This suggests Anthropic wealth may significantly expand AI safety funding while having less impact on other EA cause areas.

Concerns About Allocation

Value drift risk: The fraction of employees with EA-ish perspectives is expected to decrease among more recent hires. One commenter noted: "a lot of the early employees and higher-ups have EA-ish perspectives... this fraction is expected to decrease among more recent employees."

Time constraints: Anthropic employees are described as "incredibly time poor," and some interventions are very time-sensitive if donors have short AI timelines.

US-centric focus: One analysis raised concerns about "a strong focus on US-centric actions, which might [be] very suboptimal" for global impact.

Procrastination risk: "Empirically, it's common for billionaires to pledge a lot of money to charity and then be very slow at giving it away."

Strategic Implications

Scale Comparison

The EA movement has historically directed approximately $1 billion annually. EA Forum Potential Anthropic-derived funding using the comprehensive model (founders + investors + employees):

Scenario	Annual EA Funding	Anthropic Potential (Total)	Multiple
Current	≈$1B/year	—	—
Conservative ($150B val)	≈$1B/year	+$33-68B	33-68x one-time
Base case ($380B val)	≈$1B/year	+$82-172B	82-172x one-time
Risk-adjusted base	≈$1B/year	+$48-76B	48-76x one-time
If deployed over 10 years	≈$1B/year	+$4.8-7.6B/year	4.8-7.6x ongoing

Note: Previous estimates using founder equity only showed $39-59B; the comprehensive model including investors and employees is 2-2.5x larger.

Front-Loading vs. Waiting

Arguments for current donors giving now: EA Forum

"A $100k gift represents 9% of current funding versus only 1% of projected future funding... organizations become less constrained by money than capacity."

Arguments for waiting:

Coordination may avoid redundant capacity building
Current giving has higher certainty of impact
Anthropic wealth remains uncertain

Absorption Capacity Concerns

Whether the AI safety and broader EA ecosystem can productively absorb billions in additional funding remains unclear:

Talent constraints: Top researchers are scarce; funding doesn't create talent
Organizational scaling: Rapid growth often reduces effectiveness
Grant evaluation: Evaluating $50B+ requires infrastructure that doesn't exist
Diminishing returns: Best opportunities get funded first
Potential for reduced rigor: Easy money may lower standards

Governance and Accountability

Long-Term Benefit Trust

Anthropic's Long-Term Benefit Trust (LTBT) provides some mission accountability through five financially disinterested trustees with growing board appointment power (majority by 2027). However, critics note stockholder override provisions and the Trust's limited use of its appointment power to date. See the dedicated page for full analysis.

Pledge Enforcement

Unlike the OpenAI Foundation's legal control over board appointments, Anthropic founder pledges have no legal enforcement mechanism:

Pledges are public commitments, not contracts
Enforcement relies on reputational cost
No third-party oversight of fulfillment
Founders retain full discretion on timing, vehicles, and recipients

For analysis of interventions that could increase pledge fulfillment probability—including legal pledge conversion, DAF pre-commitment campaigns, and public accountability tracking—see Anthropic Founder Pledge Interventions.

Prediction Markets

A Manifold Markets prediction market asks: "By the end of 2030, how much Anthropic money will have been donated to charity?" The market covers donations from all Anthropic-derived wealth, including individual donations from founders and employees who gained wealth through equity, as well as company matching contributions.

Outcome Bracket	Notes
$0	No significant donations before 2030
<$100M	Token giving only
$100M–$1B	Modest fulfillment; comparable to early employee buyback-era giving
$1B–$3B	Partial pledge fulfillment; likely employee DAF distributions
$3B–$10B	Substantial giving; consistent with legally bound employee capital arriving post-IPO
$10B–$30B	Near full deployment of legally bound capital plus some founder giving
>$30B	Exceeds most conservative risk-adjusted estimates for this timeline

This market provides a useful external reference point for the estimates on this page. The risk-adjusted range of $27-76B estimated above covers total eventual EA-aligned capital, but much of that is expected to deploy over 2027-2035. By end of 2030, actual donations may be substantially lower than the total eventual figure, depending on IPO timing, lock-up periods, and founder decision timelines.

Key Uncertainties Summary

Uncertainty	Range	Key Drivers
IPO timing	2026-2030+	Market conditions, regulatory, company choice
IPO valuation	$50B-$500B+	AI market, revenue growth, competition
Founder pledge fulfillment	40-60%	Historical Giving Pledge base rates
Employee pledge fulfillment	90-100%	Already legally bound in DAFs
Investor giving (Tallinn/Moskovitz)	80-100%	Strong track record, some already committed
Cause allocation	Concentrated-Diverse	AI safety favored; other causes uncertain
Deployment timeline	5-30 years	Foundation vs. direct, tax optimization
EA absorption capacity	$5-15B/year	Talent, organizations, evaluation infrastructure
Employee EA fraction decline	Moderate-High	Early hires more EA-aligned than recent

Claim reference cr-311b (data unavailable — rebuild with wiki-server access) ↩ ↩² ↩³ ↩⁴ ↩⁵ ↩⁶ ↩⁷ ↩⁸ ↩⁹
The characterization of Anthropic as a major longtermist philanthropic source is an editorial assessment; no single p... — The characterization of Anthropic as a major longtermist philanthropic source is an editorial assessment; no single primary source makes this claim directly. ↩ ↩² ↩³ ↩⁴ ↩⁵ ↩⁶ ↩⁷ ↩⁸ ↩⁹ ↩¹⁰ ↩¹¹ ↩¹² ↩¹³ ↩¹⁴ ↩¹⁵ ↩¹⁶ ↩¹⁷ ↩¹⁸ ↩¹⁹
Claim reference cr-55e1 (data unavailable — rebuild with wiki-server access) ↩ ↩² ↩³ ↩⁴ ↩⁵ ↩⁶
Details on Anthropic's employee matching program are not publicly documented in primary sources; this claim is based ... — Details on Anthropic's employee matching program are not publicly documented in primary sources; this claim is based on secondhand reporting and should be treated as unverified. ↩ ↩² ↩³ ↩⁴ ↩⁵ ↩⁶ ↩⁷ ↩⁸ ↩⁹ ↩¹⁰ ↩¹¹
Citation rc-b3a8 (data unavailable — rebuild with wiki-server access) ↩ ↩² ↩³ ↩⁴ ↩⁵
Reported across multiple outlets at the time; Anthropic has not published official terms for this tranche. ↩ ↩² ↩³
Google's $2 billion follow-on was widely reported in October 2023; Anthropic has not published a dedicated press rel... — Google's $2 billion follow-on was widely reported in October 2023; Anthropic has not published a dedicated press release for this specific tranche. ↩ ↩² ↩³ ↩⁴ ↩⁵
Verdict, "US DOJ, Google, Anthropic Partnership" (https://www.verdict.co.uk/us-doj-google-anthropic-partnership/) ↩ ↩²
Amazon's September 2023 initial $4 billion investment was announced jointly; Anthropic has published statements on t... — Amazon's September 2023 initial $4 billion investment was announced jointly; Anthropic has published statements on the AWS partnership. ↩
Amazon's March 2024 $2.75 billion follow-on was reported across major outlets at announcement. ↩
Amazon's November 2024 $4 billion third tranche was reported at announcement. ↩
Anthropic, "Anthropic Raises Series F at $183B Post-Money Valuation" (https://www.anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raise... — Anthropic, "Anthropic Raises Series F at $183B Post-Money Valuation" (https://www.anthropic.com/news/anthropic-raises-series-f-at-usd183b-post-money-valuation) ↩
Anthropic, "Microsoft, Nvidia, Anthropic Announce Strategic Partnerships" (https://www.anthropic.com/news/microsoft-n... — Anthropic, "Microsoft, Nvidia, Anthropic Announce Strategic Partnerships" (https://www.anthropic.com/news/microsoft-nvidia-anthropic-announce-strategic-partnerships) ↩ ↩²
CNBC, "Anthropic AI Azure Microsoft Nvidia" (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/18/anthropic-ai-azure-microsoft-nvidia.html) ↩ ↩²
Premier Alternatives, "Anthropic Secondary Market Price" (https://www.premieralts.com/companies/anthropic/secondary-m... — Premier Alternatives, "Anthropic Secondary Market Price" (https://www.premieralts.com/companies/anthropic/secondary-market-price) ↩
Forge Global, "Anthropic Upcoming IPO News" (https://forgeglobal.com/insights/anthropic-upcoming-ipo-news/) ↩
Maginative, "Anthropic Launches First Employee Share Buyback at $61.5 Billion Valuation" (https://www.maginative.com... — Maginative, "Anthropic Launches First Employee Share Buyback at $61.5 Billion Valuation" (https://www.maginative.com/article/anthropic-launches-first-employee-share-buyback-at-61-5-billion-valuation/) ↩
The 10–20% figure for employee option pools is a commonly cited range in startup financing literature, but the specif... — The 10–20% figure for employee option pools is a commonly cited range in startup financing literature, but the specific percentage for Anthropic is not publicly disclosed. Treat all estimates in this table as illustrative. ↩
EA Forum, "Front-load giving because of Anthropic donors" (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rRBaP7YbXfZibSn3... — EA Forum, "Front-load giving because of Anthropic donors" (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rRBaP7YbXfZibSn3C/front-load-giving-because-of-anthropic-donors). Details of the matching program described here originate from this community post, not from official Anthropic documentation. ↩ ↩² ↩³ ↩⁴
Details reportedly from Anthropic's careers page (https://www.anthropic.com/careers), which is subject to change and ... — Details reportedly from Anthropic's careers page (https://www.anthropic.com/careers), which is subject to change and does not constitute a formal public commitment. The specific matching terms could not be independently verified at time of writing. ↩
The claim that Amanda Askell is the 67th GWWC signatory is reportedly sourced from EA Forum discussion (https://forum... — The claim that Amanda Askell is the 67th GWWC signatory is reportedly sourced from EA Forum discussion (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/53Gc35vDLK2u5nBxP/anthropic-is-not-being-consistently-candid-about-their) but has not been confirmed by Askell or GWWC publicly. ↩
The reported prior relationship between Amanda Askell and William MacAskill appears in EA community discussions but h... — The reported prior relationship between Amanda Askell and William MacAskill appears in EA community discussions but has not been confirmed in official or primary sources. ↩
Citation rc-a92b (data unavailable — rebuild with wiki-server access) ↩
Kyle Fish's role as a full-time AI welfare researcher at Anthropic is reported in Transformer News (https://www.trans... — Kyle Fish's role as a full-time AI welfare researcher at Anthropic is reported in Transformer News (https://www.transformernews.ai/p/anthropic-ai-welfare-researcher). Independent verification from Anthropic is not available. ↩
Zach Robinson's reported role as CEO of the Centre for Effective Altruism is based on community sources; the CEA webs... — Zach Robinson's reported role as CEO of the Centre for Effective Altruism is based on community sources; the CEA website (https://www.centreforeffectivealtruism.org) should be consulted for current leadership. ↩
Neil Buddy Shah's reported roles at GiveWell and the Clinton Health Access Initiative are based on publicly available... — Neil Buddy Shah's reported roles at GiveWell and the Clinton Health Access Initiative are based on publicly available LinkedIn and organizational bios; verify at current organizational sources. ↩
Kanika Bahl's reported role as CEO of Evidence Action is based on publicly available organizational information (http... — Kanika Bahl's reported role as CEO of Evidence Action is based on publicly available organizational information (https://www.evidenceaction.org); verify for currency. ↩
OpenAI restructuring details as reported by NBC News (https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/openai-restructuring-com... — OpenAI restructuring details as reported by NBC News (https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/openai-restructuring-company-structure-chatgpt-invest-own-rcna240138). ↩
The $130B figure for the OpenAI Foundation's stake is a rough calculation based on reported valuation figures, not a... — The $130B figure for the OpenAI Foundation's stake is a rough calculation based on reported valuation figures, not an official valuation. See Inside Philanthropy (https://www.insidephilanthropy.com/home/openai-now-has-a-foundation-we-have-some-questions) for context. ↩
These revenue figures are based on reporting by technology news outlets and have not been confirmed in Anthropic's pu... — These revenue figures are based on reporting by technology news outlets and have not been confirmed in Anthropic's public statements. Treat as estimates. ↩
Nvidia's market capitalization trajectory is observable from public market data. The precise multiple depends on the start and end dates chosen; figures cited here are approximate. ↩