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Longterm Wiki has not been actively maintained since May 2026. Some data is still updated occasionally, but please don't rely on this site being current or accurate.
Longterm Wiki

Forecasting Research Institute (FRI)

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About
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Output & Research
Projects2

Projects

2
ProjectDescriptionStatusLinks
XPT (Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament)Four-month structured forecasting tournament bringing together superforecasters and domain experts through adversarial collaboration.active
ForecastBenchDynamic, contamination-free benchmark for evaluating LLM forecasting capabilities, published at ICLR 2025.active