AGI Timelines Dashboard

When Will We Get AGI? | AGI Timelines Dashboard AGI Timeline Forecasts Median year predictions from multiple forecasting sources. Data sources: Metaculus , Manifold , Kalshi Download data 2060 Full Log Linear Individual Forecasts: Date of "weakly general AI" - Metaculus From the forecasting site Metaculus, full title: "When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?" Metaculus Prediction (Year) Source: Metaculus Download data 2060 Full Log Linear Date of "general AI" - Metaculus From the forecasting site Metaculus, full title: "When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?" Metaculus Prediction (Year) Source: Metaculus Download data 2060 Full Log Linear Date of AI passing "difficult Turing Test" - Metaculus From the forecasting site Metaculus, full title: "When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?" Metaculus Prediction (Year) Source: Metaculus Download data 2060 Full Log Linear When will AGI arrive? (Manifold Markets Distribution) From the prediction market Manifold Markets, full title: "AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]" Manifold Prediction (Year) Source: Manifold Markets Download data 2060 Full Log Linear Will AI pass the Turing Test before 2030? (Kalshi) From the prediction market Kalshi. Shows probability (0-100%) that AI passes the Turing test before 2030. Kalshi Prediction (% before 2030) Source: Kalshi Download data