Metaforecast
metaforecastprojectPath: /knowledge-base/responses/metaforecast/
E200Entity ID (EID)
Page Recorddatabase.json — merged from MDX frontmatter + Entity YAML + computed metrics at build time
{
"id": "metaforecast",
"numericId": null,
"path": "/knowledge-base/responses/metaforecast/",
"filePath": "knowledge-base/responses/metaforecast.mdx",
"title": "Metaforecast",
"quality": 35,
"readerImportance": 47.5,
"researchImportance": 30.5,
"tacticalValue": null,
"contentFormat": "article",
"tractability": null,
"neglectedness": null,
"uncertainty": null,
"causalLevel": null,
"lastUpdated": "2026-03-13",
"dateCreated": "2026-02-15",
"llmSummary": "Metaforecast is a forecast aggregation platform combining 2,100+ questions from 10+ sources (Metaculus, Manifold, Polymarket, etc.) with daily updates via automated scraping. Created by QURI, it provides unified search and GraphQL API access but lacks historical data and is limited to passive aggregation rather than enabling new forecasting capabilities.",
"description": "A forecast aggregation platform that combines predictions from 10+ sources (Metaculus, Manifold, Polymarket, Good Judgment Open) into a unified search interface. Created by Nuño Sempere and Ozzie Gooen at QURI, Metaforecast indexes approximately 2,100 active forecasting questions plus 17,000+ Guesstimate models, with data fetched daily via open-source scraping pipeline.",
"ratings": {
"novelty": 2.5,
"rigor": 4,
"actionability": 2,
"completeness": 6
},
"category": "responses",
"subcategory": "epistemic-platforms",
"clusters": [
"epistemics",
"community"
],
"metrics": {
"wordCount": 1557,
"tableCount": 13,
"diagramCount": 1,
"internalLinks": 9,
"externalLinks": 10,
"footnoteCount": 0,
"bulletRatio": 0.13,
"sectionCount": 29,
"hasOverview": true,
"structuralScore": 15
},
"suggestedQuality": 100,
"updateFrequency": null,
"evergreen": true,
"wordCount": 1557,
"unconvertedLinks": [],
"unconvertedLinkCount": 0,
"convertedLinkCount": 0,
"backlinkCount": 10,
"hallucinationRisk": {
"level": "medium",
"score": 60,
"factors": [
"no-citations",
"low-quality-score"
]
},
"entityType": "project",
"redundancy": {
"maxSimilarity": 16,
"similarPages": [
{
"id": "quri",
"title": "QURI (Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute)",
"path": "/knowledge-base/organizations/quri/",
"similarity": 16
},
{
"id": "ai-forecasting-benchmark",
"title": "AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament",
"path": "/knowledge-base/responses/ai-forecasting-benchmark/",
"similarity": 12
},
{
"id": "epistemic-tools-tools-overview",
"title": "Tools & Platforms (Overview)",
"path": "/knowledge-base/responses/epistemic-tools-tools-overview/",
"similarity": 12
},
{
"id": "squiggle",
"title": "Squiggle",
"path": "/knowledge-base/responses/squiggle/",
"similarity": 12
},
{
"id": "squiggleai",
"title": "SquiggleAI",
"path": "/knowledge-base/responses/squiggleai/",
"similarity": 12
}
]
},
"coverage": {
"passing": 6,
"total": 13,
"targets": {
"tables": 6,
"diagrams": 1,
"internalLinks": 12,
"externalLinks": 8,
"footnotes": 5,
"references": 5
},
"actuals": {
"tables": 13,
"diagrams": 1,
"internalLinks": 9,
"externalLinks": 10,
"footnotes": 0,
"references": 0,
"quotesWithQuotes": 0,
"quotesTotal": 0,
"accuracyChecked": 0,
"accuracyTotal": 0
},
"items": {
"llmSummary": "green",
"schedule": "red",
"entity": "green",
"editHistory": "red",
"overview": "green",
"tables": "green",
"diagrams": "green",
"internalLinks": "amber",
"externalLinks": "green",
"footnotes": "red",
"references": "red",
"quotes": "red",
"accuracy": "red"
},
"ratingsString": "N:2.5 R:4 A:2 C:6"
},
"readerRank": 321,
"researchRank": 413,
"recommendedScore": 115.3
}External Links
No external links
Backlinks (10)
| id | title | type | relationship |
|---|---|---|---|
| epistemic-orgs-overview | Epistemic & Forecasting Organizations (Overview) | concept | — |
| lightning-rod-labs | Lightning Rod Labs | organization | — |
| quri | QURI (Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute) | organization | — |
| samotsvety | Samotsvety | organization | — |
| nuno-sempere | Nuño Sempere | person | — |
| epistemic-tools-tools-overview | Tools & Platforms (Overview) | concept | — |
| forecastbench | ForecastBench | project | — |
| longterm-wiki | Longterm Wiki | project | — |
| squiggle | Squiggle | project | — |
| squiggleai | SquiggleAI | project | — |