Longterm Wiki has not been actively maintained since May 2026. Some data is still updated occasionally, but please don't rely on this site being current or accurate.
Systematic tracking and transparency efforts focused on how governments deploy AI systems, particularly for surveillance, enforcement, and decision-making that affects citizens' rights. Became critically important in 2025-2026 as the Trump administration rapidly expanded government AI use (nearly 3,000 AI use cases across 29 agencies in 2025, a 75% increase over 2024). Key practitioners: Revolving Door Project (comprehensive "Tracking Uses of AI in the Trump Administration" tracker covering DOGE AI, CMS Medicare AI, ICE surveillance, State Department visa AI), Freedom House (Freedom on the Net annual reports, 15th consecutive year of internet freedom decline; specific reporting on AI-enabled immigration enforcement), Brennan Center (policing and technology program, AI and national security research series), and Tech Oversight Project (rapid-response media campaigns on tech accountability). FOIA litigation (Democracy Forward, ACLU) serves as an enforcement mechanism when voluntary transparency fails. The Revolving Door Project tracker is currently the most comprehensive single-source inventory of government AI deployments. State-level monitoring is thinner — the Brennan Center tracker covers state legislation but not state government AI deployments.
AI-Enabled Authoritarian TakeoverRiskAI-Enabled Authoritarian TakeoverComprehensive analysis documenting how 72% of global population (5.7 billion) now lives under autocracy with AI surveillance deployed in 80+ countries, showing 15 consecutive years of declining int...Quality: 61/100AI Surveillance and US Democratic ErosionRiskAI Surveillance and US Democratic ErosionAnalysis of how data centralization, oversight dismantlement, and AI capability acquisition by the US government create near-term threats to democratic processes. Documents the Anthropic-Pentagon s...Quality: 55/100
Analysis
AI Lab Whistleblower Dynamics ModelAnalysisAI Lab Whistleblower Dynamics ModelAnalyzes whistleblower dynamics in AI labs using expected utility framework, estimating current barriers suppress 70-90% of critical safety information compared to optimal transparency. Quantifies ...Quality: 56/100AI Surveillance and Regime Durability ModelAnalysisAI Surveillance and Regime Durability ModelUsing historical regime collapse data (military regimes: 9 years, single-party: 30 years) and evidence from 80+ countries adopting surveillance technology, this model estimates AI-enabled authorita...Quality: 64/100Authoritarian Tools Diffusion ModelAnalysisAuthoritarian Tools Diffusion ModelThis model analyzes how AI surveillance technologies diffuse to authoritarian regimes through commercial sales, development assistance, joint ventures, reverse engineering, and illicit acquisition....Quality: 62/100Surveillance Chilling Effects ModelAnalysisSurveillance Chilling Effects ModelQuantifies how AI surveillance reduces freedom of expression through self-censorship mechanisms, estimating 50-70% reduction in dissent within months and 80-95% within 1-2 years in comprehensive su...Quality: 54/100
Approaches
Process SupervisionApproachProcess SupervisionProcess supervision trains AI to show correct reasoning steps rather than just final answers, achieving 15-25% absolute improvements on math benchmarks while making reasoning auditable. However, it...Quality: 65/100
Organizations
OpenAI FoundationOrganizationOpenAI FoundationThe OpenAI Foundation holds 26% equity (~$130B) in OpenAI Group PBC with governance control, but detailed analysis of board member incentives reveals strong bias toward capital preservation over ph...Quality: 87/100
Policy
California SB 53PolicyCalifornia SB 53California SB 53 represents the first U.S. state law specifically targeting frontier AI safety through transparency requirements, incident reporting, and whistleblower protections, though it makes ...Quality: 73/100
Concepts
Model RegistriesConceptModel RegistriesAnalyzes model registries as foundational governance infrastructure across US (≥10^26 FLOP threshold), EU (≥10^25 FLOP), and state-level implementations, showing they enable pre-deployment review a...Quality: 68/100
Historical
Anthropic-Pentagon Standoff (2026)EventAnthropic-Pentagon Standoff (2026)Comprehensive analysis of the February 2026 confrontation between Anthropic and the US government. Triggered when Claude AI was used in the January 2026 Venezuela raid via Palantir, Anthropic refus...Quality: 70/100