Epoch AI
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"summary": "Epoch AI maintains comprehensive databases tracking 3,200+ ML models showing 4.4x annual compute growth and projects data exhaustion 2026-2032. Their empirical work directly informed EU AI Act's 10^25 FLOP threshold and US EO 14110, with their Epoch Capabilities Index showing ~90% acceleration in AI progress since April 2024.",
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| id | title | type | relationship |
|---|---|---|---|
| scaling-laws | AI Scaling Laws | concept | — |
| ai-timelines | AI Timelines | concept | — |
| critical-uncertainties | AI Risk Critical Uncertainties Model | crux | — |
| capability-alignment-race | Capability-Alignment Race Model | analysis | — |
| ai-compute-scaling-metrics | AI Compute Scaling Metrics | analysis | — |
| language-models | Large Language Models | capability | — |
| reasoning | Reasoning and Planning | capability | — |
| is-ai-xrisk-real | Is AI Existential Risk Real? | crux | — |
| why-alignment-hard | Why Alignment Might Be Hard | argument | — |
| agi-timeline | AGI Timeline | concept | — |
| __index__/knowledge-base/forecasting | Forecasting | concept | — |
| bioweapons-ai-uplift | AI Uplift Assessment Model | analysis | — |
| capability-threshold-model | Capability Threshold Model | analysis | — |
| multi-actor-landscape | Multi-Actor Strategic Landscape | analysis | — |
| planning-for-frontier-lab-scaling | Planning for Frontier Lab Scaling | analysis | — |
| racing-dynamics-impact | Racing Dynamics Impact Model | analysis | — |
| safety-research-value | Expected Value of AI Safety Research | analysis | — |
| epistemic-orgs-overview | Epistemic & Forecasting Organizations (Overview) | concept | — |
| fri | Forecasting Research Institute | organization | — |
| __index__/knowledge-base/organizations | Organizations | concept | — |
| safety-orgs-overview | AI Safety Organizations (Overview) | concept | — |
| samotsvety | Samotsvety | organization | — |
| stanford-hai | Stanford HAI (Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence) | organization | — |
| dustin-moskovitz | Dustin Moskovitz | person | — |
| ai-forecasting | AI-Augmented Forecasting | approach | — |
| coordination-tech | AI Governance Coordination Technologies | approach | — |
| eval-saturation | Eval Saturation & The Evals Gap | approach | — |
| flexheg | FlexHEG (Flexible Hardware-Enabled Guarantees) | project | — |
| thresholds | Compute Thresholds | concept | — |
| us-executive-order | US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy AI | policy | — |
| existential-risk | Existential Risk from AI | concept | — |
| knowledge-monopoly | AI Knowledge Monopoly | risk | — |
| superintelligence | Superintelligence | concept | — |
| actor-power-scorecard | Actor Power Scorecard | concept | — |