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David Lindner

OpenAI Foundation

OpenAI Foundation | San Francisco, CA | Cause IQ

track record

forecasting

With Nuño Sempere - Superforecasting and Global Risk

Paul Christiano - Alignment Wiki

Paul Christiano

o3 Benchmark Scores & Evals | BenchmarkList

o3 benchmark scores | evals.report

OpenAI o1 · Models · VerdictPal

Elon Musk suggests spate of xAI exits have been push, not pull | TechCrunch

x ai Number of Employees 2026 | Employee Count & Headcount Data | Revelio Labs

Ozzie Gooen - by Ben Goldhaber - Mutual Understanding

Exclusive: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, With Spending Hitting $34 Billion

Leaked: OpenAI Spent $34 Billion in 2025 Against $13 Billion in Revenue, With a $17 Billion Microsoft Bill | the deep dive

Leopold Aschenbrenner - Wikipedia

About - SITUATIONAL AWARENESS

Introduction - SITUATIONAL AWARENESS: The Decade Ahead

Onni Aarne — Institute for AI Policy and Strategy

Onni Aarne | CNAS

Measure is unceasing

NunoSempere — EA Forum

William MacAskill | Forethought

William MacAskill - Wikipedia

William MacAskill

The Sixth Foresight Conference on Molecular Nanotechnology - Foresight Institute

About - Foresight Institute

Foresight Institute - Homepage

Eli Lifland

About - Issa Rice

Issa Rice - Issa Rice

Undergraduate studies | Vipul Naik

Biography | Vipul Naik

Graduate studies | Vipul Naik

What Anthropic's $965 Billion Filing Reveals About Who Is Really Spending on AI

The Growth Miracle and the Six Fractures: Anthropic at $380 Billion

How Many Employees Does Anthropic Have in 2026? (~5,000)

Exciting Announcement: Launching our Grant for Underexplored approaches to AI Safety! - Foresight Institute

2023 Whole Brain Emulation Workshop - Foresight Institute

Announcing Foresight Institute's AI Safety Grants Program - LessWrong 2.0 viewer

GitHub - quantified-uncertainty/metaforecast: Fetch forecasts from prediction markets/forecasting platforms to make them searchable. Integrate these forecasts into other services. · GitHub

Two-year update on my personal AI timelines

Inside Google’s Investment in Anthropic - The New York Times

Who Owns Anthropic? Complete Ownership Breakdown (2026)

Amazon and Google have billions riding on Anthropic. The IPO will finally reveal how much. | Fortune

‘Voluntary’ Until the Government Is Your Customer | Lawfare

Review of the "Risks from automated R&D" section in the Anthropic Risk Report (February 2026) - METR

Clarifying limitations of time horizon - METR

CoT May Be Highly Informative Despite “Unfaithfulness” - METR

The Cognitive Revolution in Interpretability: From Explaining Behavior to Interpreting Representations and Algorithms

Substantive Frontier Model Evaluation for Beginners - Part 2: Significant Capabilities | Strategic Technologies Blog | CSIS

Response to OSTP on AI Action Plan - METR

Example autonomy evaluation protocol - METR

Common Elements of Frontier AI Safety Policies - METR

[2607.16112] Harmonizing AI Safety Thresholds

Who checks what AI can do?

Recent Frontier Models Are Reward Hacking - METR

Evaluation Faking: Unveiling Observer Effects in Safety Evaluation of Frontier AI Systems

AI Lab Watch

Language Model Pilot Report - METR

Task-Completion Time Horizons of Frontier AI Models - METR

Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Tasks

Details about METR's preliminary evaluation of Claude 3.7

Claude 3.7 Sonnet and Claude Code \ Anthropic

Details about METR's preliminary evaluation of OpenAI's o3 and o4-mini

METR | The Org

About METR

Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026) - METR

Frontier AI Safety Policies - METR

Key Components of an RSP - METR

Anthropic’s Responsible Scaling Policy \ Anthropic

Responsible Scaling Policies (RSPs) - METR

Google DeepMind strengthens the Frontier Safety Framework — Google DeepMind

Frontier safety at Google DeepMind — Google DeepMind

Introducing the Frontier Safety Framework — Google DeepMind

The potential of generative AI for personalized persuasion at scale | Scientific Reports

An update on our general capability evaluations - METR

communitynotes/documentation/under-the-hood/ranking-notes.md at main · twitter/communitynotes · GitHub

GitHub - twitter/communitynotes: Documentation and source code powering Twitter's Community Notes · GitHub

Good Judgment’s 2024 in Review - Good Judgment

Practice forecasting and train your team at Good Judgment Open

Good Judgment® Open

Issues · quantified-uncertainty/metaforecast · GitHub

Guidelines for capability elicitation - METR

Red-Teaming Anthropic's Internal Agent Monitoring Systems - METR

Budget & Performance | Department of Energy

Homepage | Nuclear Regulatory Commission