Longterm Wiki
Updated 2026-03-13HistoryData
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Hallucination Risk

Risk scores computed from citation density, entity type, quality, content integrity, and other signals. 756 pages assessed. 164 high-risk pages.

Total Assessed
756
High Risk
164
Medium Risk
507
Low Risk
85
Avg Score
53

Most Common Risk Factors

no-citations582few-external-sources221low-quality-score172minimal-content149biographical-claims138low-rigor-score130conceptual-content128high-rigor120high-quality40structured-format31

Risk Distribution

High: 22%Medium: 67%Low: 11%
756 results
Factors
xAI95highorganization48
biographical-claimsfew-external-sourcessevere-truncation
Ilya Sutskever95highperson26
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+2
Neel Nanda95highperson26
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+2
Nick Bostrom95highperson25
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+2
Early Warnings (1950s-2000)90highhistorical31
specific-factual-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+2
The MIRI Era (2000-2015)90highhistorical31
specific-factual-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+2
Astralis Foundation90highorganization30
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+1
Lightning Rod Labs90highorganization38
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+1
Gratified90highorganization25
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+1
Daniela Amodei90highperson21
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+1
Dan Hendrycks90highperson19
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+1
Connor Leahy90highperson19
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+1
Chris Olah90highperson27
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+1
Sentinel (Catastrophic Risk Foresight)90highorganization39
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+1
Jan Leike90highperson27
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+1
Common Writing Principles90highinternal0
low-citation-densitylow-quality-scorefew-external-sources+1
Conjecture85highorganization37
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
CHAI (Center for Human-Compatible AI)85highorganization37
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Giving Pledge85highorganization68
biographical-claimslow-citation-densityhigh-rigor+1
FAR AI85highorganization76
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score
Google DeepMind85highorganization37
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Seldon Lab85highorganization45
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score
Paul Christiano85highperson39
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Stuart Russell85highperson30
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Yoshua Bengio85highperson39
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Rogue AI Scenarios85highrisk55
low-citation-densityfew-external-sourcessevere-truncation
EA and Longtermist Wins and Losses80high-53
low-citation-densitysevere-truncation
Large Language Models80highcapability60
low-citation-densitysevere-truncation
CSER (Centre for the Study of Existential Risk)80highorganization58
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Council on Strategic Risks80highorganization38
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
CAIS (Center for AI Safety)80highorganization42
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Bridgewater AIA Labs80highorganization66
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Blueprint Biosecurity80highorganization60
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
AI Revenue Sources80highorganization55
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
AI Impacts80highorganization53
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
1Day Sooner80highorganization60
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
NTI | bio (Nuclear Threat Initiative - Biological Program)80highorganization60
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Manifest (Forecasting Conference)80highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Lionheart Ventures80highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Kalshi (Prediction Market)80highorganization25
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
IBBIS (International Biosecurity and Biosafety Initiative for Science)80highorganization60
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Eli Lifland80highperson58
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Eliezer Yudkowsky80highperson35
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
EA Global80highorganization38
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
Dario Amodei80highperson41
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Pause AI80highorganization59
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Polymarket80highorganization33
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
Red Queen Bio80highorganization55
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Rethink Priorities80highorganization60
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Secure AI Project80highorganization47
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
SecureBio80highorganization65
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Swift Centre80highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
The Foundation Layer80highorganization3
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
The Sequences by Eliezer Yudkowsky80highorganization65
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Turion80highorganization55
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
UK AI Safety Institute80highorganization52
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Compute Governance: AI Chips Export Controls Policy80highpolicy58
low-citation-densitysevere-truncation
Elon Musk (AI Industry)80highperson38
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
Geoffrey Hinton80highperson42
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Holden Karnofsky80highperson40
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Toby Ord80highperson41
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Vidur Kapur80highperson38
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
claim-first-architecture80high--
low-citation-densitysevere-truncation
enhancement-queue75high--
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
factors-transition-turbulence-overview75high--
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
LongtermWiki Value Proposition75highinternal4
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
LongtermWiki Vision75highinternal2
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
LongtermWiki Strategy Brainstorm75highinternal4
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Parameters Strategy75highinternal3
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Project Roadmap75highinternal29
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
scenarios-overview75high--
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
CSET (Center for Security and Emerging Technology)75highorganization43
biographical-claimsno-citations
ControlAI75highorganization63
biographical-claimsno-citations
Coefficient Giving75highorganization55
biographical-claimsno-citations
Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations75highorganization53
biographical-claimsno-citations
Chan Zuckerberg Initiative75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Center for Applied Rationality75highorganization62
biographical-claimsno-citations
Arb Research75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Apollo Research75highorganization58
biographical-claimsno-citations
Anthropic75highorganization74
biographical-claimsno-citations
AI Futures Project75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
80,000 Hours75highorganization45
biographical-claimsno-citations
MIRI (Machine Intelligence Research Institute)75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Microsoft AI75highorganization58
biographical-claimsno-citations
METR75highorganization66
biographical-claimsno-citations
Metaculus75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Meta AI (FAIR)75highorganization51
biographical-claimsno-citations
MATS ML Alignment Theory Scholars program75highorganization60
biographical-claimsno-citations
Manifund75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Manifold (Prediction Market)75highorganization43
biographical-claimsno-citations
MacArthur Foundation75highorganization65
biographical-claimsno-citations
Long-Term Future Fund (LTFF)75highorganization56
biographical-claimsno-citations
Longview Philanthropy75highorganization45
biographical-claimsno-citations
Lighthaven (Event Venue)75highorganization40
biographical-claimsno-citations
LessWrong75highorganization44
biographical-claimsno-citations
Global Partnership on Artificial Intelligence (GPAI)75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
GovAI75highorganization43
biographical-claimsno-citations
Good Judgment (Forecasting)75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Giving What We Can75highorganization62
biographical-claimsno-citations
FutureSearch75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Showing 1100 of 756
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Live data from wiki-server

Scores computed at build time by the canonical scorer (crux/lib/hallucination-risk.ts). Run pnpm crux validate hallucination-risk for a CLI report.