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Hallucination Risk

Per-page hallucination risk scores based on citation density, claim type, and source quality. Pages with high risk have many unsourced claims or rely on low-quality sources — prioritize these for citation audits. Run pnpm crux query risk --level=high for the CLI equivalent.

Risk scores computed from citation density, entity type, quality, content integrity, and other signals. 768 pages assessed. 118 high-risk pages.

Total Assessed
768
High Risk
118
Medium Risk
500
Low Risk
150
Avg Score
49

Most Common Risk Factors

no-citations468few-external-sources255biographical-claims184conceptual-content143low-quality-score130high-rigor115well-cited109minimal-content95low-rigor-score55structured-format48

Risk Distribution

High: 15%Medium: 65%Low: 20%
768 results
Factors
The MIRI Era (2000-2015)90highhistorical31
specific-factual-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+2
Center for Human-Compatible AI (CHAI)85highorganization37
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Paul Christiano85highperson39
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Yoshua Bengio85highperson39
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Conjecture85highorganization37
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
The Foundation Layer80highorganization3
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
Dario Amodei80highperson41
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
AI Policy Institute80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Partnership on AI80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Geoffrey Hinton80highperson42
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Alphabet Google AI Governance Structure80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Americans for Responsible Innovation80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Holden Karnofsky80highperson40
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Common Writing Principles80highinternal0
low-quality-scorefew-external-sourcessevere-truncation
UK AI Governance Actors80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Toby Ord80highperson41
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
RAND Corporation AI Policy Research80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Google DeepMind80highorganization37
biographical-claimslow-citation-densitylow-quality-score+1
Meta Open-Source Strategy Policy Impact80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Compute Supply Chain Actors80highorganization72
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace — AI Program80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Brookings Institution AI and Emerging Technology Initiative80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
UK AI Safety Institute80highorganization52
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Center for Democracy and Technology80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Shareholder and Board Influence in AI Labs80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
TSMC80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
The Future Society80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Middle East AI Actors80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Industry Consortia and Self-Regulation80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Ada Lovelace Institute80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Large Language Models80highcapability60
low-citation-densitysevere-truncation
xAI80highorganization48
biographical-claimsfew-external-sourceswell-cited+1
CSIS Wadhwani Center for AI and Advanced Technologies80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
AI Now Institute80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Tom Brown80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
China AI Power Actors80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Stanford HAI (Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence)80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
AI-Induced Cyber Psychosis75highrisk37
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF)75highorganization59
biographical-claimsno-citations
Manifund75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Forecasting Research Institute75highorganization55
biographical-claimsno-citations
Apollo Research75highorganization58
biographical-claimsno-citations
Ford Foundation75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Advanced Research and Invention Agency (ARIA)75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Center for a New American Security (CNAS)75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Ajeya Cotra75highperson55
biographical-claimsno-citations
Think Tank and Policy Institute Influence on AI75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Astralis Foundation75highorganization30
biographical-claimslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score
Metaculus75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
LongtermWiki Vision75highinternal2
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Future of Humanity Institute (FHI)75highorganization51
biographical-claimsno-citations
parameters-strategy75high--
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Greg Brockman75highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Center for AI Policy75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Jared Kaplan75highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citations
GovAI75highorganization43
biographical-claimsno-citations
Sam McCandlish75highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Early Warnings (1950s-2000)75highhistorical31
specific-factual-claimslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Center for AI Safety (CAIS)75highorganization42
biographical-claimsno-citations
Manifold (Prediction Market)75highorganization43
biographical-claimsno-citations
Future of Life Institute (FLI)75highorganization46
biographical-claimsno-citations
Long-Term Future Fund (LTFF)75highorganization56
biographical-claimsno-citations
Sam Altman75highperson40
biographical-claimsno-citations
LongtermWiki Value Proposition75highinternal4
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
LessWrong75highorganization44
biographical-claimsno-citations
Amazon Anthropic Partnership Influence75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Epoch AI75highorganization51
biographical-claimsno-citations
Longview Philanthropy75highorganization45
biographical-claimsno-citations
CSET (Center for Security and Emerging Technology)75highorganization43
biographical-claimsno-citations
xAI and Musk Political Influence75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Demis Hassabis75highperson45
biographical-claimsno-citations
LongtermWiki Strategy Brainstorm75highinternal4
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Microsoft OpenAI Partnership Influence75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Vitalik Buterin (Funder)75highorganization45
biographical-claimsno-citations
European Union AI Governance Actors75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
80,000 Hours75highorganization45
biographical-claimsno-citations
OpenAI Board and Foundation Dynamics75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Military and Defense AI Actors75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Meta AI (FAIR)75highorganization51
biographical-claimsno-citations
Government AI Actors Overview75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
SMIC75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Project Roadmap75highinternal29
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Freedom House75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
QURI (Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute)75highorganization48
biographical-claimsno-citations
Helen Toner75highperson43
biographical-claimsno-citations
ASML75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Yann LeCun75highperson41
biographical-claimsno-citations
Coefficient Giving75highorganization55
biographical-claimsno-citations
Bureau of Industry and Security75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
AI Futures Project75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Evan Hubinger75highperson43
biographical-claimsno-citations
Ilya Sutskever70highperson26
biographical-claimslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+2
Org Watch70highproject23
low-citation-densitylow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
AI Watch70highproject23
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score
Expected Value of AI Safety Research70highanalysis60
no-citationslow-rigor-scorefew-external-sources
Why Alignment Might Be Hard70highargument69
low-citation-densityconceptual-contentsevere-truncation
Factor Diagram Naming: Research Report70high-31
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score
Epistemic Risks (Overview)70high-37
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score
Showing 1100 of 768
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Scores computed at build time by the canonical scorer (crux/lib/hallucination-risk.ts). Run pnpm crux validate hallucination-risk for a CLI report.