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Longterm Wiki has not been actively maintained since May 2026. Some data is still updated occasionally, but please don't rely on this site being current or accurate.
Longterm Wiki
Updated 2026-02-27HistoryData
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Edited 8 months ago37 words
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StaleLast edited 240 days ago - may need review

Hallucination Risk

Per-page hallucination risk scores based on citation density, claim type, and source quality. Pages with high risk have many unsourced claims or rely on low-quality sources — prioritize these for citation audits. Run pnpm crux query risk --level=high for the CLI equivalent.

Risk scores computed from citation density, entity type, quality, content integrity, and other signals. 778 pages assessed. 122 high-risk pages.

Total Assessed
778
High Risk
122
Medium Risk
501
Low Risk
155
Avg Score
49

Most Common Risk Factors

no-citations473few-external-sources257biographical-claims189conceptual-content142low-quality-score128high-rigor116well-cited111minimal-content99low-rigor-score54structured-format53

Risk Distribution

High: 16%Medium: 64%Low: 20%
778 results
Factors
The MIRI Era (2000-2015)90highhistorical31
specific-factual-claimsno-citationslow-rigor-score+2
Paul Christiano85highperson39
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Conjecture85highorganization37
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Center for Human-Compatible AI (CHAI)85highorganization37
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Yoshua Bengio85highperson39
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score+1
Holden Karnofsky80highperson40
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
CSIS Wadhwani Center for AI and Advanced Technologies80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
UK AI Safety Institute80highorganization52
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Allan Dafoe80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Shane Legg80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Middle East AI Actors80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
xAI80highorganization48
biographical-claimsfew-external-sourceswell-cited+1
Pushmeet Kohli80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
UK AI Governance Actors80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Shareholder and Board Influence in AI Labs80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
TSMC80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Center for Democracy and Technology80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Compute Supply Chain Actors80highorganization72
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Mustafa Suleyman80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
RAND Corporation AI Policy Research80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Brookings Institution AI and Emerging Technology Initiative80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
The Foundation Layer80highorganization3
biographical-claimsno-citationslow-quality-score
Alphabet Google AI Governance Structure80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Common Writing Principles80highinternal0
low-quality-scorefew-external-sourcessevere-truncation
Meta Open-Source Strategy Policy Impact80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Dario Amodei80highperson41
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Geoffrey Hinton80highperson42
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
David Silver80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Richard Ngo80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Large Language Models80highcapability60
low-citation-densitysevere-truncation
Industry Consortia and Self-Regulation80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Google DeepMind80highorganization37
biographical-claimslow-citation-densitylow-quality-score+1
Rohin Shah80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Toby Ord80highperson41
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Tom Brown80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Victoria Krakovna80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace — AI Program80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Stanford HAI (Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence)80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
China AI Power Actors80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Partnership on AI80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
AI Now Institute80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
John Jumper80highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
Ada Lovelace Institute80highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citationsfew-external-sources
parameters-strategy75high--
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Forecasting Research Institute75highorganization55
biographical-claimsno-citations
Ford Foundation75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Future of Humanity Institute (FHI)75highorganization51
biographical-claimsno-citations
Jared Kaplan75highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Evan Hubinger75highperson43
biographical-claimsno-citations
Microsoft OpenAI Partnership Influence75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
LessWrong75highorganization44
biographical-claimsno-citations
Ajeya Cotra75highperson55
biographical-claimsno-citations
Coefficient Giving75highorganization55
biographical-claimsno-citations
Early Warnings (1950s-2000)75highhistorical31
specific-factual-claimslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Long-Term Future Fund (LTFF)75highorganization56
biographical-claimsno-citations
Meta AI (FAIR)75highorganization51
biographical-claimsno-citations
Longview Philanthropy75highorganization45
biographical-claimsno-citations
Center for a New American Security (CNAS)75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
SMIC75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
GovAI75highorganization43
biographical-claimsno-citations
Future of Life Institute (FLI)75highorganization46
biographical-claimsno-citations
ASML75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Yann LeCun75highperson41
biographical-claimsno-citations
Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI)75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Astralis Foundation75highorganization30
biographical-claimslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score
QURI (Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute)75highorganization48
biographical-claimsno-citations
Advanced Research and Invention Agency (ARIA)75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Government AI Actors Overview75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Freedom House75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Project Roadmap75highinternal29
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Sam Altman75highperson40
biographical-claimsno-citations
LongtermWiki Vision75highinternal2
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
LongtermWiki Strategy Brainstorm75highinternal4
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Metaculus75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Military and Defense AI Actors75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
LongtermWiki Value Proposition75highinternal4
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
AI Futures Project75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
xAI and Musk Political Influence75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
80,000 Hours75highorganization45
biographical-claimsno-citations
Manifold (Prediction Market)75highorganization43
biographical-claimsno-citations
Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF)75highorganization59
biographical-claimsno-citations
Think Tank and Policy Institute Influence on AI75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Bureau of Industry and Security75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
CSET (Center for Security and Emerging Technology)75highorganization43
biographical-claimsno-citations
Apollo Research75highorganization58
biographical-claimsno-citations
OpenAI Board and Foundation Dynamics75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Helen Toner75highperson43
biographical-claimsno-citations
AI-Induced Cyber Psychosis75highrisk37
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score+1
Center for AI Safety (CAIS)75highorganization42
biographical-claimsno-citations
European Union AI Governance Actors75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Demis Hassabis75highperson45
biographical-claimsno-citations
Vitalik Buterin (Funder)75highorganization45
biographical-claimsno-citations
Epoch AI75highorganization51
biographical-claimsno-citations
Greg Brockman75highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Amazon Anthropic Partnership Influence75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Manifund75highorganization50
biographical-claimsno-citations
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace75highorganization-
biographical-claimsno-citations
Sam McCandlish75highperson-
biographical-claimsno-citations
AI Watch70highproject23
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score
Factor Diagram Naming: Research Report70high-31
no-citationslow-rigor-scorelow-quality-score
Showing 1–100 of 778
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Scores computed at build time by the canonical scorer (crux/lib/hallucination-risk.ts). Run pnpm crux validate hallucination-risk for a CLI report.