Forecasting
FundActive30+ grants totaling ~$50M. Led by Benjamin Tereick. Forecasting infrastructure and research.
$45M total
| Grant | Recipient | Amount | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasting Research Institute — General Support | Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) | $10M | 2025-02 |
| Applied Research Laboratory for Intelligence and Security — Forecasting Platforms | Applied Research Laboratory For Intelligence And Security | $8M | 2021-09 |
| Forecasting Research Institute — Science of Forecasting | Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) | $6M | 2022-12 |
| Metaculus — Platform Development | Metaculus | $6M | 2022-05 |
| RAND Corporation — Forecasting Platform | RAND | $3M | 2024-08 |
| Metaculus — Platform Development (2023) | Metaculus | $3M | 2023-04 |
| Metaculus — Platform Development (2024) | Metaculus | $3M | 2024-04 |
| University of Pennsylvania — Philip Tetlock’s “Making Conversations Smarter, Faster” Forecasting Project | University of Pennsylvania | $2M | 2017-07 |
| Mantic — AI Forecasting Research | Mantic | $610K | 2024-09 |
| Sage — Software Tools for Forecasting | Sage | $550K | 2024-05 |
| University of Pennsylvania — Philip Tetlock on Forecasting | University of Pennsylvania | $500K | 2016-03 |
| FutureSearch — Forecasting Question Automation | FutureSearch | $356K | 2025-05 |
| Hypermind — COVID-19 Forecasting | Good Judgment (Forecasting) | $311K | 2021-02 |
| University of Pennsylvania — Forecasting Tournament Planning | University of Pennsylvania | $275K | 2021-10 |
| Good Judgment Inc. — Forecasting Review on Power-Seeking AI | Good Judgment (Forecasting) | $231K | 2023-01 |
| Swift Centre — Forecasting Workshops | Swift Centre | $200K | 2024-09 |
| Forecasting Research Institute — AI Forecasting Project | Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) | $150K | 2023-03 |
| Good Judgment Inc. — H5N1 Forecasts | Good Judgment (Forecasting) | $150K | 2023-02 |
| Hypermind — AI Forecasting | Good Judgment (Forecasting) | $147K | 2021-03 |
| University of Pennsylvania — Geopolitical Forecasting Research (2021) | University of Pennsylvania | $132K | 2021-02 |
| The Centre for Economic Policy Research — Macroeconomic Impacts of Cash Transfers | The Centre For Economic Policy Research | $125K | 2024-12 |
| Hypermind — AI Forecasting Tournament | Good Judgment (Forecasting) | $121K | 2021-03 |
| Metaculus — AI Forecasting Tournament | Metaculus | $100K | 2019-07 |
| Good Judgment Inc. — COVID-19 Forecasting | Good Judgment (Forecasting) | $76K | 2020-03 |
| Forecasting Research Institute — Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament | Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) | $75K | 2023-09 |
| Forecasting Research Institute — Analysis of Historical Forecasts | Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) | $60K | 2023-11 |
| UC Berkeley — Course Development Support (Jacob Steinhardt) | University of California, Berkeley | $54K | 2021-08 |
| University of Toronto — Social Science Prediction Platform | University of Toronto | $40K | 2023-03 |
| International Institute for Strategic Studies — Forecasting Session | International Institute For Strategic Studies | $33K | 2025-01 |
| University of Pennsylvania — Geopolitical Forecasting Research (2020) | University of Pennsylvania | $29K | 2020-08 |
| Sage — AI 2025 Forecasting Questions | Sage | $7K | 2024-11 |